The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liepāja 55.1%
Draw 25%
Jelgava 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
26.6%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
23.8%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.
Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelgava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelgava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.3%
6.7%
0%
Liepāja - Jelgava Predictions
Users Predictions:
Liepāja will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liepāja will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Petkovic D. (C) 35. Sorokins V. 2. Straalman B. 33. Korotkovs I. 5. Silva A. 6. Rodolphe E. 31. Amatkarijo C. 70. Patijcuks D. 55. Fellipe Vieira 9. Pulis I. 23. Haidara A.
1. Dvorak A. (C) 7. Janovskis A. 13. Novikovs J. 4. Kangars A. 21. Kacanovs G. 25. Prior L. 9. Becers R. 29. Zaleiko G. 10. Holoubek D. 24. Hasek F. 17. Rataj T.
Substitutes
14. Gueye D. 3. Iljins K. 26. Isajevs V. 44. Leidsman K. 4. Martins M. 7. Ogunniyi A. 24. Oss D. (G) 11. Patrikejevs I. 8. Traore A.
30. Belanik S. (G) 26. Butovskis A. 28. Deklavs A. 8. Melkis R. 20. Patika G. 19. Petersons A. 18. Smaukstelis E. 12. Velika M. (G)
Coaches
Alm A.
Basovs A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Rataj T. ⚽, Dvorak A. (A),
43', Rataj T. 🟨,
45+1', Silva A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pulis I. ↓, Gueye D. ↑,
63', Janovskis A. ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
63', Becers R. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
65', Haidara A. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
65', Patijcuks D. ↓, Patrikejevs I. ↑,
68', Rodolphe E. 🟨,
72', Fellipe Vieira 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Rodolphe E. ⚽,
83', Fellipe Vieira ↓, Ogunniyi A. ↑,
83', Amatkarijo C. ↓, Leidsman K. ↑,
90', Dvorak A. 🟨,
90+3', Straalman B. 🟨,
90+4', Rataj T. ↓, Butovskis A. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 3.
In recent matches, Liepāja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jelgava's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Jelgava has had a series of home games.
In this match, Liepāja is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:21. (average 2.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Liepāja won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).
Latvia
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Petkovic D. (C) 
Sorokins V. 
Straalman B. 
Silva A. 
Rodolphe E. 
Amatkarijo C. 
Fellipe Vieira 
Haidara A. 
Dvorak A. (C) 
Gueye D. 
Martins M. 
Ogunniyi A. 
Traore A. 
Belanik S. (G) 
Alm A. 
