Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Liepāja		Rīgas FS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.65
	2.25	3.35	2.7
	2.29	3	2.95
	2.26	3.29	2.73
	2.35	3	2.88
	2.34	3.24	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.83)	3.16 ↑ (2.92)	2.8 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liepāja
39%

Draw
28.6%

Rīgas FS
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32%

31%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

32.1%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.

Rīgas FS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liepāja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rīgas FS than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rīgas FS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Liepāja - Rīgas FS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification) and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 0.

Liepāja in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches RFS is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 26-37.

Including matches at home between the teams Liepāja won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
19.04.22	Tukums 2000 - Liepāja	1:4 ✺
14.04.22	Liepāja - Auda Riga	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Metta - Liepāja	1:5 ✺
06.04.22	Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils	5:1 ✺
01.04.22	Spartaks - Liepāja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWWW
- Rīgas FS Women
Latvian Virsliga
19.04.22	Rīgas FS - Valmiera	1:3 ✺
15.04.22	Rīgas FS - Super Nova	2:0 ✺
11.04.22	Tukums 2000 - Rīgas FS	0:10 ✺
06.04.22	Rīgas FS - Auda Riga	0:0 ✺
02.04.22	Metta - Rīgas FS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Cup
24.10.21	Rīgas FS - Liepāja	1:0
Latvian Virsliga
02.10.21	Liepāja - Rīgas FS	1:1
22.09.21	Rīgas FS - Liepāja	2:1
14.05.21	Liepāja - Rīgas FS	1:2
04.04.21	Rīgas FS - Liepāja	4:0
20.11.20	Liepāja - Rīgas FS	1:0
08.08.20	Rīgas FS - Liepāja	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
01.11.26	Liepāja - Super Nova	✺

Liepāja - Rīgas FS