Match Info

Virsliga - Round 28

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Rīgas Hanzas vidusskolas stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4
World	Onefootball


	Metta		Liepāja

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.8	4	1.5
	4.95	3.95	1.55
	6.42	4.74	1.42
	1.00	1.00	1.01	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.5
	5.64	4	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↓ (5.9)	3.58 ↓ (4.23)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metta
17.7%

Draw
23.3%

Liepāja
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

21.9%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

21.4%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metta than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Metta - Liepāja Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Metta will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Liepāja will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Metta (votes: 2 - 50%). Liepāja (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Metta (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Metta (votes: 3 - 60%). Liepāja (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Plavins K. (G) 27. Cesnieks K. 4. Vilnis K. (C) 8. Kamara M. 5. Minkevics I. 2. Scremin G. 21. Rekis K. 15. Cinajevs D. 14. Smilskalns G. 11. Ivulans M. 18. Evelons E.	12. Petkovic D. (C) 35. Sorokins V. 26. Isajevs V. 72. Babic A. 5. Silva A. 14. Gueye D. 19. Saveljevs A. 91. Lausic M. 11. Diaw M. 7. Ogunniyi A. 44. Leidsman K.
Substitutes
29. Bangura A. 13. Gulbis H. 30. Kamara S. 10. Klavinskis R. 9. Saleh S. 1. Sorokins A. (G)	10. Dodo 2. Girdvainis E. 3. Iljins K. 92. Karasauskas A. 28. Korobenko A. 17. Melnis B. 9. Oloko E. 24. Oss D. (G) 70. Patijcuks D.
Coaches
Riherts A.	Alm A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Babic A. (Pen),
12', 0 - 1, Diaw M. ⚽,
25', Riherts A. 🟨,
26', Silva A. 🟨,
33', Gueye D. 🟨,
38', Saveljevs A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Ogunniyi A. ⚽,
41', Cinajevs D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Minkevics I. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
46', Rekis K. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
46', Leidsman K. 🟨,
51', Smilskalns G. 🟨,
54', Leidsman K. (Pen),
56', 1 - 2, Evelons E. ⚽, Bangura A. (A),
57', Smilskalns G. 🟨,
60', Ivulans M. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
70', Diaw M. ↓, Dodo ↑,
71', Leidsman K. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
74', Evelons E. ↓, Saleh S. ↑,
80', Saveljevs A. ↓, Korobenko A. ↑,
80', Ogunniyi A. ↓, Melnis B. ↑,
81', Cinajevs D. ↓, Gulbis H. ↑,
90+3', Isajevs V. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metta won 1.

Metta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Liepāja's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Metta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Metta has had a series of away games.

Recently, Liepāja has had a series of home games.

In this match, Liepāja is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metta won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 24:47. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Metta won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.2:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Metta
Latvian Virsliga
23.08.25	BFC Daugavpils - Metta	4:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
17.08.25	RFS - Metta	3:2 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
09.08.25	Metta - Jelgava	2:2 ✺
03.08.25	Auda Riga - Metta	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Riga - Metta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLTWL
- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
25.08.25	Liepāja - Super Nova	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Jelgava - Liepāja	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Liepāja - Auda Riga	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Liepāja - Riga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
21.06.25	Liepāja - Metta	1:0
02.05.25	Metta - Liepāja	2:4
07.03.25	Liepāja - Metta	4:0
15.09.24	Metta - Liepāja	1:2
25.06.24	Liepāja - Metta	1:5
06.05.24	Liepāja - Metta	1:2
16.03.24	Metta - Liepāja	2:0

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