Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ligorna		Alba

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.44	4.05	6.01
	1.44	4.05	6.01
	1.5	3.75	5
	1.43	4.1	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.58)	3.94 ↑ (3.62)	5.76 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ligorna
61.5%

Draw
22.8%

Alba
15.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.5%

25.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

24.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Alba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alba than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Ligorna - Alba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ligorna is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alba is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ligorna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ligorna is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Ligorna 1922
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.11.23	Ligorna - Varese	1:1 ✺
01.11.23	Fezzanese - Ligorna	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Ligorna - Albenga	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Ticino - Ligorna	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Ligorna - Vado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLWTT
- Alba Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.11.23	Alba - Ticino	1:2 ✺
01.11.23	Varese - Alba	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Alba - Asti	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Albenga - Alba	4:1 ✺
15.10.23	Alba - Borgosesia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLL

Ligorna - Alba

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ligorna - Alba Predictions

Preview

Form

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