Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ligorna		Bra

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.40	5.25
	1.54	3.65	4.90
	1.65	3.48	4.60
	1.56	3.78	5.3	Watch
	1.65	3.20	4.65
	1.62	3.86	5.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)	3.56 ↓ (3.7)	4.99 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ligorna
56.5%

Draw
25.4%

Bra
18.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.8%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Bra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bra than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Ligorna - Bra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ligorna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group A Playoffs and 15th in the Serie D - Group A (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ligorna won 1.

Ligorna has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Bra have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ligorna could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Ligorna is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Ligorna in today's match, at odds of 1.61.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Ligorna has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:25 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ligorna against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:13 goals (averaging 1.1:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ligorna	9	5	1	3	17:12	5	16
14	Bra	9	2	4	3	7:9	-2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Ligorna 1922
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.10.26	Gozzano - Ligorna	0:4 ✺
04.10.26	Ligorna - Saluzzo	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Chisola - Ligorna	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Celle Varazze - Ligorna	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Ligorna - Derthona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWL
- AC Bra
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.10.26	Bra - Saluzzo	1:1 ✺
07.10.26	Bra - Celle Varazze	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Unione Sanremo - Bra	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Borgosesia - Bra	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Bra - Biellese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
06.04.25	Bra - Ligorna	2:0
24.11.24	Ligorna - Bra	0:1
17.01.24	Ligorna - Bra	0:0
20.09.23	Bra - Ligorna	1:2
16.04.23	Bra - Ligorna	4:1
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.12.22	Bra - Ligorna	2:0
Italian Serie D - Group A
03.12.22	Ligorna - Bra	1:1

Ligorna - Bra