Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 12

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Ligorna		Stresa Vergante

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.75	5.25
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.43	3.93	5.71
	1.57	3.84	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)	3.82 ↑ (3.74)	5.35 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ligorna
59.7%

Draw
23.5%

Stresa Vergante
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.2%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

23%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Stresa Vergante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stresa Vergante than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Ligorna - Stresa Vergante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out)).

Ligorna is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Stresa Vergante is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stresa Vergante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ligorna is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ligorna to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Ligorna 1922
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Ligorna - Sestri Levante	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
30.10.22	Gozzano - Ligorna	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Vado - Ligorna	2:4 ✺
16.10.22	Ligorna - Borgosesia	2:0 ✺
09.10.22	Chieri - Ligorna	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLWWW
- Stresa Vergante
Italian Serie D - Group A
29.10.22	Stresa Vergante - Borgosesia	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	Casale - Stresa Vergante	2:2 ✺
16.10.22	Stresa Vergante - Vado	2:3 ✺
09.10.22	Fossano - Stresa Vergante	1:1 ✺
05.10.22	Stresa Vergante - Chieri	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTLTW

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