Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Vado		Ligorna

	1	X	2
	2.22	3	3
	2.22	3.21	3.02	Watch
	2.29	3.33	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.27)	3.18 ↑ (3.13)	3.01 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vado
40.8%

Draw
28.8%

Ligorna
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

28.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Vado - Ligorna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vado won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vado won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ligorna	6	3	1	2	11:10	1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Ligorna - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.09%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.03.26	Varese - Vado	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Vado - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Club Milano - Vado	0:4 ✺
08.02.26	Vado - Saluzzo	5:0 ✺
01.02.26	Imperia - Vado	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTWWT
- SCD Ligorna 1922
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.03.26	Ligorna - Gozzano	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Ligorna - Club Milano	5:1 ✺
15.02.26	Varese - Ligorna	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Ligorna - Imperia	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Sestri Levante - Ligorna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
02.11.25	Ligorna - Vado	1:0
20.10.24	Ligorna - Vado	2:3
18.02.24	Vado - Ligorna	3:1
15.10.23	Ligorna - Vado	0:0
26.02.23	Ligorna - Vado	1:2
23.10.22	Vado - Ligorna	2:4
24.04.22	Vado - Ligorna	1:1

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