Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 1

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Lija Athletic		Tarxien Rainbows

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.5
	2.2	3.5	2.8	Watch
	4.81	3.87	1.45
	5.25	4.1	1.51
	2.2	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (1.69)	3.75 ↑ (3.6)	2.01 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lija Athletic
24.9%

Draw
26.2%

Tarxien Rainbows
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

24.6%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lija Athletic's form might have worsened.

Tarxien Rainbows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tarxien Rainbows's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (+30%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lija Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (-28.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tarxien Rainbows, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	8.3%	91.7%

Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tarxien will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tarxien: 76.1% – 100%.

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lija won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tarxien could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tarxien will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lija won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Lija won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
03.02.24	Lija Athletic - Swieqi United	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Lija Athletic	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
13.01.24	Hamrun Spartans - Lija Athletic	3:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
06.01.24	Lija Athletic - Zejtun Corinthians	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLW
- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Challenge League
03.02.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Tarxien Rainbows - Żurrieq	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Luqa St. Andrews - Tarxien Rainbows	4:2 ✺
07.01.24	St. Andrews - Tarxien Rainbows	0:3 ✺
17.12.23	Tarxien Rainbows - Pietà Hotspurs	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
30.09.23	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:0
26.08.22	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	1:2
Maltese Premier League
03.02.21	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	2:0
Club Friendly
08.08.20	Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic	0:3
Maltese Premier League
09.03.18	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:4
Maltese FA Trophy
20.01.18	Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic	1:2
Maltese Premier League
04.11.17	Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic	2:3

Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide