The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lillestrøm SK 49.8%
Draw 23.3%
Vålerenga 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
23.8%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
23.2%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Lillestrøm SK - Vålerenga Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Dahlberg P. (G) 2. Ranger L. 5. Foss S. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 11. Elkaer F. 29. Ibrahimaj Y. 22. Bassi D. 14. Nyheim G. 17. Kitolano E. 20. Felix Va 8. Gulbrandsen F.
1. Hedvall O. (G) 3. Sjatil H. 4. Olsen A. 55. Jarl S. 2. Finnsson K. 11. Zahid G. (C) 28. Westergaard M. 10. Lange C. 77. Haren L. 26. Gjengaar D. 17. Grundetjern M.
Substitutes
1. Hagerup S. (G) 47. Kristiansen S. 18. Krygard K. 16. Melland H. 15. Nordh G. 10. Olsen T. 3. Ottesen S. 21. Ottosson F. 26. Paintsil Y.
6. Hedenstad V. 15. Holm O. T. 13. Lonning S. A. A. (G) 37. Nasberg I. 7. Nielsen H. 9. Rajkovic G. 90. Saeter O. 24. Strand P. 5. Tshiembe K.
Coaches
Odegaard H.
Moesgaard J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Gabrielsen R. ⚽,
29', Gulbrandsen F. 🟨,
41', Jarl S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Gjengaar D. ↓, Rajkovic G. ↑,
58', Zahid G. ↓, Holm O. T. ↑,
70', Sjatil H. 🟨,
71', Lange C. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
71', Haren L. ↓, Saeter O. ↑,
73', Bassi D. ↓, Paintsil Y. ↑,
74', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Olsen T. ↑,
81', Elkaer F. 🟨,
83', Grundetjern M. ↓, Nielsen H. ↑,
85', Kitolano E. ↓, Ottosson F. ↑,
90+4', Rajkovic G. 🟨,
90+5', Saeter O. 🟨,
90+6', Ibrahimaj Y. ↓, Kristiansen S. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, Olsen T. ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 4.
Lillestrøm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vålerenga has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Lillestrøm could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Lillestrøm: Alperud L.
(Injury)
Gabrielsen R.
(Injury)
Jebara C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Vålerenga: Ambina F.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Garnas E. B.
(Injury)
Krygard K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Vålerenga: Sjoeng M.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.2:0.4).