Match Info

NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 4

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Sandefjord Arena (Sandefjord)

Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)


	Sandefjord		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3	3.5	2.2
	3.2	3.6	2.25
	3.21	3.82	2.27
	3.21	3.81	2.18
	2.9	3.6	2.1
	3.16	3.75	2.16	Watch
	3	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.91)	3.65 ↑ (3.41)	2.2 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandefjord
30.6%

Draw
26.1%

Lillestrøm SK
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

27.9%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

28.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Sandefjord - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sandefjord will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 4. Pedersen F. 2. Berglie F. 22. Gjone M. 17. Cheng C. 8. Damnjanovic A. 18. Ottosson F. (C) 21. Amin S. 7. Markovic E. 9. Tveter A. 45. Mvuka B.	12. Hedenstad M. (G) 16. Charles U. 19. Tonnesen K. 28. Gabrielsen R. 3. Roseth M. 7. Ibrahimaj Y. 6. Hoff V. 23. Asen G. (C) 17. Kitolano E. 10. Olsen T. 33. Skogvold H.
Substitutes
3. Egeli V. 30. Gronneberg A. (G) 24. Mathisen S. 99. Maudo 10. Mettler L. 6. Mork S. 25. Pettersen S. 35. Wingsternaes P.	11. Elkaer F. 20. Felix Va 30. Foss S. 90. Furaha E. S. 4. Garnas E. B. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 18. Karlin A. 15. Knudtzon E. 27. Seferi U.
Coaches
Odegaard H.	Georgson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Skogvold H. ↓, Felix Va ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Olsen T. ⚽,
63', Mvuka B. ↓, Mathisen S. ↑,
64', Charles U. 🟨,
74', Amin S. ↓, Mettler L. ↑,
74', Damnjanovic A. ↓, Mork S. ↑,
77', Gjone M. 🟨,
80', Kitolano E. ↓, Knudtzon E. ↑,
89', Olsen T. ↓, Furaha E. S. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandefjord won 1.

Sandefjord is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lillestrøm is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sandefjord could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sandefjord have a series of guest games.

Lillestrøm will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Sandefjord won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 17-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Sandefjord won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandefjord Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.04.24	Odd - Sandefjord	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Flekkerøy - Sandefjord	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.04.24	Rosenborg - Sandefjord	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.03.24	Strømsgodset - Sandefjord	0:3 ✺
16.03.24	Strømsgodset - Sandefjord	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TLLW?
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.04.24	Lillestrøm SK - Bodø Glimt	0:5 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Bjørkelangen Høland - Lillestrøm SK	0:7 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
07.04.24	Haugesund - Lillestrøm SK	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Lillestrøm SK - Kristiansund	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Stabæk - Lillestrøm SK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.02.24	Lillestrøm SK - Sandefjord	2:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.12.23	Sandefjord - Lillestrøm SK	1:0
16.07.23	Lillestrøm SK - Sandefjord	4:2
Club Friendly
27.01.23	Lillestrøm SK - Sandefjord	2:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.08.22	Lillestrøm SK - Sandefjord	3:0
21.05.22	Sandefjord - Lillestrøm SK	1:4
12.12.21	Lillestrøm SK - Sandefjord	2:0

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