Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	RTSH 1, RTSH Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Norway	VG+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lillestrøm SK		Egnatia Rrogozhinë

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	6	Watch
	1.46	4.40	7.00
	1.42	4.15	7.3	Watch
	1.42	4.7	7.6
	1.42	4.66	7.55	Watch
	1.39	4.65	7.45
	1.48	4.67	6.23	Watch
	1.41	4.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.43)	4.54 ↓ (4.82)	7.02 ↓ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm SK
65.9%

Draw
20.7%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

19.8%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

18.9%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Egnatia Rrogozhinë have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Lillestrøm SK - Egnatia Rrogozhinë Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 26 - 76.5%). Egnatia will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 62.2% – 90.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Egnatia (2.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Egnatia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dahlberg P. (G) 2. Ranger L. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 5. Foss S. 11. Elkaer F. 14. Nyheim G. 29. Ibrahimaj Y. 17. Kitolano E. 26. Paintsil Y. 8. Gulbrandsen F. 20. Felix Va	98. Dajsinani M. (G) 55. Smajli G. 33. Bitri E. 28. Sota E. 16. Ndreca E. 20. Loukili K. 6. Aleksi A. (C) 7. Fernando Medeiros 10. Albanese A. 2. Adjessa D. 77. Gruda I.
Substitutes
25. Akanji S. 7. Alperud L. 50. Babic L. (G) 4. Garnas E. B. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 47. Kristiansen S. 18. Krygard K. 16. Melland H. 15. Nordh G. 10. Olsen T. 3. Ottesen S. 6. Woxen H.	24. Ajetovikj N. 4. Aliyev Z. 8. Diabate I. 13. Kacbufi A. 17. Kryeziu A. 99. Montenegro J. 12. Puja B. (G) 1. Tandilashvili L. (G) 29. Yago A.
Coaches
Odegaard H.	Dede N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Gabrielsen R. ↓, Kristiansen S. ↑,
24', Nyheim G. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Sota E. ⚽, Fernando Medeiros (A),
45', Gulbrandsen F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ndreca E. 🟨,
54', Ndreca E. ↓, Yago A. ↑,
67', Paintsil Y. ↓, Alperud L. ↑,
77', Adjessa D. ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,
77', Loukili K. ↓, Kryeziu A. ↑,
80', Sota E. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Foss S. ⚽, Ibrahimaj Y. (A),
89', Alperud L. ↓, Akanji S. ↑,
89', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Olsen T. ↑,
90', Gruda I. ↓, Diabate I. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
94', 2 - 1, Olsen T. ⚽, Akanji S. (A),
99', Sota E. ↓, Aliyev Z. ↑,
99', Aleksi A. ↓, Ajetovikj N. ↑,
100', Kitolano E. ↓, Melland H. ↑,
120', Melland H. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

Lillestrøm is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Egnatia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lillestrøm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lillestrøm is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lillestrøm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Lillestrom: 0.44%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Lillestrøm SK	0:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.08.26	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Lillestrøm SK	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Lillestrøm SK - Rosenborg	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	4:0 ✺
22.07.26	Lillestrøm SK - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTLLL
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Albanian Super League
23.08.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Tirana	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Lillestrøm SK	0:0 ✺
13.08.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Shamrock Rovers	5:1 ✺
04.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Celje - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Lillestrøm SK	0:0

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