Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Demrozi Stadium (Rrogozhinë)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	RTSH 1, RTSH Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Norway	VG+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Egnatia Rrogozhinë		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.2
	3.30	3.55	2.10	Watch
	3.20	3.57	2.21
	3.17	3.7	2.14	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.17
	3.29	3.60	2.23	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.34)	3.45 ↓ (3.74)	2.17 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
29.1%

Draw
27.3%

Lillestrøm SK
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

25.2%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

24.8%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	19.2%	46.2%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Egnatia will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 27% – 65.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Egnatia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lillestrøm (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Egnatia (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Egnatia (votes: 2 - 50%). Lillestrøm (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Dajsinani M. (G) 28. Sota E. 33. Bitri E. 6. Aleksi A. (C) 55. Smajli G. 20. Loukili K. 7. Fernando Medeiros 10. Albanese A. 29. Yago A. 2. Adjessa D. 77. Gruda I.	12. Dahlberg P. (G) 2. Ranger L. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 5. Foss S. 3. Ottesen S. 29. Ibrahimaj Y. 18. Krygard K. 14. Nyheim G. 26. Paintsil Y. 8. Gulbrandsen F. 20. Felix Va
Substitutes
24. Ajetovikj N. 4. Aliyev Z. 8. Diabate I. 13. Kacbufi A. 17. Kryeziu A. 99. Montenegro J. 12. Puja B. (G) 1. Tandilashvili L. (G)	25. Akanji S. 7. Alperud L. 50. Babic L. (G) 11. Elkaer F. 4. Garnas E. B. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 17. Kitolano E. 22. Kitolano J. 47. Kristiansen S. 16. Melland H. 15. Nordh G. 6. Woxen H.
Coaches
Dede N.	Odegaard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Fernando Medeiros 🟨,
59', Ranger L. 🟨,
67', Adjessa D. ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,
67', Krygard K. ↓, Melland H. ↑,
72', Gruda I. ↓, Kryeziu A. ↑,
72', Aleksi A. ↓, Diabate I. ↑,
80', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Akanji S. ↑,
81', Paintsil Y. ↓, Kitolano E. ↑,
90+1', Fernando Medeiros ↓, Ajetovikj N. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Recent performances by Egnatia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lillestrøm is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Egnatia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lillestrøm might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Lillestrom: 0.44%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Last Results with these Odds

Lillestrøm SK - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.5%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egnatia Rrogozhinë
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Shamrock Rovers	5:1 ✺
04.08.26	Shamrock Rovers - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Celje - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3:2 penalties ✺
22.07.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Celje	3:3 ✺
15.07.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Petrocub-Hîncești	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLTW
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.08.26	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Lillestrøm SK	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Lillestrøm SK - Rosenborg	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	4:0 ✺
22.07.26	Lillestrøm SK - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Lillestrøm SK - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLLW

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