Match Info

Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 25

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lillestrøm 2		Fløya

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.75	1.49
	4.7	5	1.41
	4.12	5.25	1.47
	4.59	5.5	1.44	Watch
	3.95	5.2	1.47
	4.95	5.05	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (4.28)	5.13 ↑ (4.95)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm 2
20.3%

Draw
17.6%

Fløya
62.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.1%

18.2%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

17.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fløya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fløya than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Lillestrøm 2 - Fløya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Berg M. A. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Johansen Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th and 2nd).

Recent results have been tough for Lillestrøm 2 (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Fløya shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Fløya carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Lillestrøm 2 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:9 (averaging 1.3:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lillestrøm 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Floya	25	17	3	5	72:36	36	54
9	Lillestrom 2	25	10	1	14	76:60	16	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
18.10.26	Ulfstind - Lillestrøm 2	0:5 ✺
11.10.26	Tromsø 2 - Lillestrøm 2	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Lillestrøm 2 - Strømsgodset 2	3:3 ✺
20.09.26	Lillestrøm 2 - Fauske Sprint	2:4 ✺
14.09.26	Skedsmo - Lillestrøm 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLTLL
- Fløya IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
18.10.26	Fløya - Tromsø 2	3:0 ✺
10.10.26	Skedsmo - Fløya	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Strømsgodset 2 - Fløya	2:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Fløya - Rosenborg	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
13.09.26	Kongsvinger 2 - Fløya	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
25.07.26	Fløya - Lillestrøm 2	3:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
21.08.22	Fløya - Lillestrøm 2	2:0
26.06.22	Lillestrøm 2 - Fløya	0:3
21.07.19	Lillestrøm 2 - Fløya	3:1

Lillestrøm 2 - Fløya