Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 8

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday


	Lillestrøm 2		Surnadal IL

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.1	3.4
	1.9	3.95	3.1
	1.94	3.76	3.01
	1.57	4.33	4
	1.84	4.1	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.69)	4.05 ↓ (4.1)	3.35 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm 2
50.6%

Draw
22.4%

Surnadal IL
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

22%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

19%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Surnadal IL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surnadal IL than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Lillestrøm 2 - Surnadal IL Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Kvande V. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Smevoll S. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Bjerkenes O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 2, Neto L. ⚽,
73', 3 - 2, Waehler M. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Lillestrøm 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Surnadal is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Surnadal have a series of guest games.

In this match Lillestrøm 2 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.05.24	Stabæk 2 - Lillestrøm 2	3:4 ✺
11.05.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Tiller	4:1 ✺
04.05.24	Nardo - Lillestrøm 2	5:4 ✺
29.04.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Strømsgodset 2	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Rosenborg II - Lillestrøm 2	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLLL
- Surnadal IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
20.05.24	Orkla FK - Surnadal IL	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Tiller - Surnadal IL	4:1 ✺
21.04.24	Strømsgodset 2 - Surnadal IL	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Træff - Surnadal IL	5:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
06.04.24	Trygg Lade - Surnadal IL	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLLL

Lillestrøm 2 - Surnadal IL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide