Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Limavady Showgrounds (Limavady)

Referee: Marshall T. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV


	Limavady United		Carrick Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.60	2.10
	3.25	3.5	1.98
	3.65	4.12	1.95
	2.98	3.71	2.08	Watch
	3.55	4	1.85
	3.4	3.74	1.86
	3.2	3.55	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.04)	3.75 ↑ (3.67)	1.97 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limavady United
28.2%

Draw
24.7%

Carrick Rangers
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

24.9%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

24.3%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limavady United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Carrick Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Limavady United - Carrick Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallagher M. (G) 77. Boyd L. 19. Brown R. 17. Butcher J. 27. Carlin S. 4. Farren K. 20. Gaston A. 7. Lowry P. 8. Lowry S. 24. Mullan A. 15. O'Donnell S.	1. Gartside N. (G) 15. Buchanan-Rolleston B. 6. Callacher J. 5. Forsythe J. 9. Gibson D. 22. Heatley P. 10. Lecky A. 12. McCullough L. (C) 2. Place M. 24. Snoddy M. 14. Steele A.
Substitutes
16. Boorman R. 5. Boorman T. 21. Doherty F. (G) 9. Duffy O. 6. Jarvis A. 11. Tosh L. 23. Wilson R.	25. Agnew D. (G) 4. Burns B. 20. Cherry K. 19. Crowe J. 23. Hastings J. 11. Maciulaitis N. 7. O'Conchubhair D.
Coaches
Owens P.	Baxter S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
39', 0 - 1, Heatley P. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Steele A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 2, Gaston A. ⚽,

Preview

Limavady is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Carrick Rangers is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Carrick Rangers will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Limavady won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Limavady won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Carrick Rangers: 0.84% Limavady: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Carrick Rangers	10	4	1	5	15:15	0	13
10	Limavady	9	3	0	6	8:14	-6	9

Last Results with these Odds

Carrick Rangers - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.02%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limavady United
Northern Irish Premiership
08.08.26	Glentoran - Limavady United	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Limavady United - Strabane Athletic	1:0 ✺
28.07.26	Moyola Park - Limavady United	Canceled ✺
24.07.26	Limavady United - Linfield	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Limavady United - Ballinamallard United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LW?LT
- Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership
08.08.26	Carrick Rangers - Portadown	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Ballyclare Comrades - Carrick Rangers	1:8 ✺
28.07.26	Carrick Rangers - Ards	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Carrick Rangers - Ballymena United	0:3 ✺
21.07.26	Queens University Belfast - Carrick Rangers	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
26.12.18	Carrick Rangers - Limavady United	3:1
31.08.18	Limavady United - Carrick Rangers	2:1

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