Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 12

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The BetMcLean Oval (Belfast) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gregg S. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	15:00	Nifl TV


	Glentoran		Limavady United

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.25	7.25
	1.29	4.95	7.80
	1.34	5.86	7.91
	1.31	5.3	7.4	Watch
	1.30	5.80	7.80
	1.32	5.16	8.69
	1.30	5.00	7.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 (1.31)	5.33 ↑ (5.3)	7.78 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glentoran
70.7%

Draw
17.4%

Limavady United
11.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.2%

17.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

14.9%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glentoran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Limavady United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Glentoran - Limavady United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mills A. (G) 7. Clarke R. 2. Cooney R. 30. Jenkins J. 3. Kane M. (C) 20. Larmour D. 29. Malone J. 8. McEneff A. 24. McMenamin C. 16. Schilte-Brown E. 12. Sloggett G.	1. Gallagher M. (G) 16. Boorman R. 5. Boorman T. 4. Farren K. 18. Lafferty D. 7. Lowry P. 8. Lowry S. 10. McGonigle J. 2. Riley J. 11. Tosh L. 23. Wilson R.
Substitutes
11. Daniels J. 44. Douglas J. 38. Faloona J. 31. Francis Crellin W. (G) 19. Gallagher B. 9. Hoban P. 41. Rogers-Duffy C.	17. Butcher J. 21. Doherty F. (G) 9. Duffy O. 28. Fleming L. 6. Jarvis A. 24. Mullan A.
Coaches
McCourt P.	Owens P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sloggett G. ↓, Hoban P. ↑,
59', Lafferty D. 🟨,
62', Jenkins J. ↓, Daniels J. ↑,
66', Riley J. ↓, Butcher J. ↑,
67', McEneff A. ↓, Douglas J. ↑,
67', McMenamin C. ↓, Gallagher B. ↑,
70', Malone J. 🟨,
75', Kane M. ↓, Rogers-Duffy C. ↑,
80', Lowry S. ↓, Jarvis A. ↑,
86', Rogers-Duffy C. 🟨,
90+1', McGonigle J. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Larmour D. ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th in the Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 10th in the NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

Glentoran has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Limavady has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Glentoran could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Glentoran holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Glentoran has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Glentoran against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Glentoran	12	6	2	4	16:10	6	20
10	Limavady	13	4	2	7	13:19	-6	14

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Glentoran: 2.33% Limavady: 0.79%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glentoran
Northern Irish Premiership
09.10.26	Portadown - Glentoran	0:0 ✺
03.10.26	Glentoran - Dungannon Swifts	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Glentoran - Carrick Rangers	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Cliftonville - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Glentoran - Coleraine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWWL
- Limavady United
Northern Irish Premiership
10.10.26	Limavady United - Ballymena United	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Portadown - Limavady United	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Limavady United - Cliftonville	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Coleraine - Limavady United	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Limavady United - Bangor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
08.08.26	Glentoran - Limavady United	2:0
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Limavady United - Glentoran	1:0

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