Match Info

Date: 21 April 2021, Wednesday


	Limon		Deportivo Saprissa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.1
	3.4	3.25	2
	3.2	3.15	2.07
	3.51	3.42	2.19
	3.3	3.2	2.05
	3.28	3.44	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.7)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	2.09 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limon
28%

Draw
27.8%

Deportivo Saprissa
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

19.8%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Limon's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Saprissa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limon than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Limon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Saprissa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Limon - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 7).

Recent matches Limon is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Saprissa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Limon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportivo Saprissa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 37 head-to-head matches Limon won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 21 matches and goals 41-78.

Including matches at home between the teams Limon won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limon
Costa Rican Primera Division
17.04.21	Pérez Zeledón - Limon	3:2 ✺
10.04.21	Limon - Sporting San José	3:1 ✺
03.04.21	Municipal Grecia - Limon	2:2 ✺
30.03.21	Limon - Cartagines	1:1 ✺
19.03.21	Limon - Jicaral	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWTTW
- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
18.04.21	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	0:5 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
14.04.21	Philadelphia Union - Deportivo Saprissa	4:0 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
10.04.21	Deportivo Saprissa - Pérez Zeledón	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
07.04.21	Deportivo Saprissa - Philadelphia Union	0:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
04.04.21	Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
14.02.21	Deportivo Saprissa - Limon	4:2
11.10.20	Limon - Deportivo Saprissa	1:0
15.08.20	Deportivo Saprissa - Limon	4:0
27.05.20	Deportivo Saprissa - Limon	1:0
05.02.20	Limon - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1
21.10.19	Deportivo Saprissa - Limon	6:0
25.08.19	Limon - Deportivo Saprissa	1:1

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