Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá (San José)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX
North-central-america	Centro America TV


	Deportivo Saprissa		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.63	3.4
	2.28	2.82	3.3	Watch
	2.38	2.99	3.71
	2.24	3.02	3.49	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.23	2.67	3.63	Watch
	2.25	2.5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.53)	2.78 ↑ (2.67)	3.55 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Saprissa
40.8%

Draw
33.2%

Alajuelense
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

35%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

33.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+1%)

Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Madriz A. (G) 3. Arboine P. 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 17. Taylor Dosman G. G. 4. Waston K. 25. Acuna S. 8. Guzman D. 23. Paradela L. 9. Rodriguez T. 20. Torres M. 7. Hernandez B.	23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 36. Badilla I. 13. Gamboa A. 22. Matarrita R. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G. 24. Salazar A. 14. Bran Flores A. J. 5. Borges C. (C) 18. Cisneros R. 11. Vargas K. 9. Zaldivar A.
Substitutes
30. Alvarez M. (G) 39. Barahona A. 12. Blanco R. 10. Brenes J. 27. Chirino R. 50. Elizondo M. 14. Rodriguez A. 24. Sinclair O. 28. Torres G. 46. Woodly D.	27. Alvarado J. 10. Campbell J. 7. Hernandez A. 1. Mora B. (G) 35. Parkins R. 2. Paz D. 34. Perez C. 8. Pilone M. 26. Pinar F. 25. van der Putten S.
Coaches
Medford H.	Ramirez O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Paradela L. ⚽,
12', Guzman D. 🟨,
12', Villalobos Alfaro G. 🟨,
23', Salazar A. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Cisneros R. ⚽,
38', Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Torres M. 🟨,
63', Guzman D. ↓, Brenes J. ↑,
63', Rodriguez T. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
66', Borges C. 🟨,
72', Borges C. ↓, Parkins R. ↑,
72', Cisneros R. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
72', Hernandez B. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
76', Salazar A. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
86', Zaldivar A. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
86', Badilla I. ↓, Pinar F. ↑,
88', Paradela L. ↓, Sinclair O. ↑,
88', Azofeifa Rivas J. M. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
90', Sinclair O. 🟨,
90+11', Vargas K. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saprissa won 0.

Saprissa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alajuelense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Saprissa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saprissa won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Saprissa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Saprissa	9	7	0	2	20:10	10	21
5	Alajuelense	9	4	2	3	15:10	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
15.02.26	Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
11.02.26	Carmelita - Deportivo Saprissa	2:4 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
05.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Carmelita	6:0 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
29.01.26	Pérez Zeledón - Deportivo Saprissa	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWT
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
15.02.26	Alajuelense - Sporting San José	1:2 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
10.02.26	Municipal Liberia - Alajuelense	3:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
07.02.26	Alajuelense - Herediano	1:1 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
03.02.26	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	0:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
27.01.26	Guadalupe - Alajuelense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
20.12.25	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	3:1
17.12.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	2:2
19.10.25	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	2:0
30.08.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	0:1
21.05.25	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	1:0
18.05.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	3:3
21.04.25	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	1:1

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