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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Saprissa 50.6%
Draw 25.6%
Alajuelense 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.3%
26.6%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
26.7%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 4th in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saprissa won 2.
Saprissa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Alajuelense shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Alajuelense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Saprissa has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Saprissa for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saprissa has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:25 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saprissa against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:10 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Saprissa
13
8
0
5
27:14
13
24
4
Alajuelense
13
6
4
3
21:14
7
22
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Saprissa - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.28%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.