Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza (Cartago)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cartagines		Deportivo Saprissa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	2.80	3.00
	2.12	3.00	3.20	Watch
	2.48	2.84	3.55
	2.22	2.75	3.93	Watch
	2.45	2.40	3.50
	2.34	2.62	3.34	Watch
	2.37	2.90	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.14)	2.76 ↓ (3.27)	3.36 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagines
39.4%

Draw
33.3%

Deportivo Saprissa
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.9%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Deportivo Saprissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagines, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cartagines will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Briceno K. (C) 18. Barahona C. 20. Mesen D. 4. Olivas Salcedo L. A. 12. Quiros J. 22. Hernandez A. 15. Flores L. 31. Morera G. M. 7. Moran M. 9. Tepa 6. Montero C.	40. Madriz A. (G) 17. Taylor Dosman G. G. 3. Arboine P. 21. Escobar F. 5. Mora J. 8. Guzman D. 25. Acuna S. 28. Torres G. 20. Torres M. (C) 23. Paradela L. 24. Sinclair O.
Substitutes
26. Alfaro B. 11. Alfaro L. 16. Castro G. 2. Cordero R. 21. Cortes J. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 34. Hidalgo D. (G) 8. Lopez D. 17. Lopez Y. 30. Mora A. 33. Moya C. (G) 39. Villalobos M.	13. Alfaro I. (G) 19. Arboine K. 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 39. Barahona A. 50. Elizondo M. 52. Gonzalez A. 35. O'Rourke I. (G) 31. Padilla S. 14. Rodriguez A. 26. Soto A. 27. Taylor S. 7. Williams N.
Coaches
Villatoro A.	Medford H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Tepa ⚽,
40', Torres G. 🟨,
40', Montero C. 🟨,
42', Taylor Dosman G. G. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Sinclair O. ⚽, Taylor Dosman G. G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Tepa 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Escobar F. ⚽,
60', Morera G. M. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
60', Montero C. ↓, Castro G. ↑,
61', Torres M. 🟨,
69', Guzman D. ↓, Taylor S. ↑,
75', Sinclair O. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
75', Torres G. ↓, Arboine K. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Mesen D. ⚽, Lopez D. (A),
80', Quiros J. 🟨,
82', Tepa ↓, Alfaro B. ↑,
82', Quiros J. ↓, Gonzalez Hernandez D. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Alfaro B. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Acuna S. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90+1', Hernandez A. ↓, Cordero R. ↑,
90+4', Mora J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 2-2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagines won 1.

Cartagines is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Saprissa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cartagines will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cartagines won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cartagines won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.6:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Cartagines - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.6%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cartagines
Costa Rican Primera Division
13.09.26	Cartagines - Alajuelense	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
09.09.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	2:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
06.09.26	Puntarenas FC - Cartagines	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Cartagines - Herediano	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
25.08.26	Cartagines - CD FAS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWWW
- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
13.09.26	Sporting San José - Deportivo Saprissa	4:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
09.09.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	2:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
05.09.26	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Escorpiones de Belén	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Deportivo Saprissa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
09.09.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	2:2
Costa Rican Primera Division
15.08.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	3:2
15.03.26	Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa	2:1
25.01.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	0:0
14.12.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	2:1
11.12.25	Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa	1:2
28.09.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	2:1

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