The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cartagines 29.2%
Draw 30.3%
Deportivo Saprissa 40.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.4%
27.9%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
27.5%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartagines's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagines, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Briceno K. (C) 2. Cordero R. 4. Olivas Salcedo L. A. 12. Quiros J. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 20. Mesen D. 6. Montero C. 15. Flores L. 31. Morera G. M. 9. Tepa 22. Hernandez A.
40. Madriz A. (G) 17. Taylor Dosman G. G. 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 4. Waston K. 21. Escobar F. 25. Acuna S. 28. Torres G. 20. Torres M. 26. Soto A. 23. Paradela L. 7. Williams N.
Substitutes
26. Alfaro B. 11. Alfaro L. 16. Castro G. 21. Cortes J. 13. Gaete J. 8. Lopez D. 30. Mora A. 27. Mora J. 33. Moya C. (G) 39. Villalobos M.
89. Alvarez M. (G) 3. Arboine P. 39. Barahona A. 6. Duarte O. 8. Guzman D. 11. Hernandez B. 5. Mora J. 14. Rodriguez A. 24. Sinclair O. 46. Woodly D.
Coaches
Villatoro A.
Medford H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Paradela L. 🟨,
34', Medford H. 🟨,
34', Torres G. 🟥,
44', 1 - 0, Acuna S. (Own goal),
45+1', Quiros J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Morera G. M. 🟨,
64', Soto A. ↓, Sinclair O. ↑,
70', Montero C. ↓, Castro G. ↑,
70', Morera G. M. ↓, Mora A. ↑,
70', Paradela L. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
82', Tepa ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
82', Gonzalez Hernandez D. ↓, Gaete J. ↑,
85', Hernandez A. 🟨,
86', Williams N. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
86', Acuna S. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
86', Azofeifa Rivas J. M. ↓, Mora J. ↑,
89', Hernandez A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagines won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Saprissa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cartagines has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:37 (averaging 1.3:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cartagines against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 16:17 goals (averaging 1.8:1.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Saprissa
13
8
0
5
27:14
13
24
2
Cartagines
13
8
0
5
24:17
7
24
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Saprissa - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.76%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Costa Rica
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Briceno K. (C) 
Olivas Salcedo L. A. 
Hernandez A. 
Escobar F. 
Torres M. 
Paradela L. 
Gaete J. 
Hernandez B. 
Villatoro A. 
