Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Limon Black Star		Santa Cruz PFA

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.09	3.6	2.9
	1.76	3.72	3.62
	1.83	3.92	3.79	Watch
	2.05	3.6	2.86
	1.8	3.66	3.72
	2.09	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (4.25)	3.66 ↓ (3.75)	3.22 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limon Black Star
46.6%

Draw
25%

Santa Cruz PFA
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

24.4%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

23.7%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limon Black Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Limon Black Star's performance.

Santa Cruz PFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz PFA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limon Black Star than the current prediction. (-25.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Limon Black Star that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz PFA than the current prediction. (+27.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz PFA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Limon Black Star - Santa Cruz PFA Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Limon Black Star will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Santa Cruz will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Limon Black Star: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Espinoza A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Limon Black Star could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Antioquia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Limon Black Star won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Limon Black Star won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limon Black Star
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
06.03.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Limon Black Star	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Desamparados - Limon Black Star	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Limon Black Star - Turrialba	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Limon Black Star - Aserrí	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Limon Black Star	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLTWW
- Santa Cruz PFA
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
06.03.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Cariari Pococí	4:1 ✺
24.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Desamparados - Santa Cruz PFA	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Aserrí	1:1 ✺
10.02.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Santa Cruz PFA	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
27.01.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Limon Black Star	3:2
23.09.24	Santa Cruz PFA - Limon Black Star	0:3
11.08.24	Limon Black Star - Santa Cruz PFA	1:1

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