Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Linares Deportivo		La Unión

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.15	3	3.15
	2.18	3.05	3.53
	2.1	3.15	3.4
	2.15	2.9	3.25
	2.18	3.21	3.36
	2.33	3.14	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.41)	3.08 ↑ (2.99)	3.19 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
41.6%

Draw
29.7%

La Unión
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Linares Deportivo - La Unión Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Riera R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, Davila Y. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).

Linares has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

La Unión has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Linares might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Linares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Linares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Linares	5	2	1	2	6:7	-1	7

Last Results with these Odds

La Unión - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.03.26	Linares Deportivo - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Malaga B - Linares Deportivo	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Linares Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Xerez CD - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Minera - Linares Deportivo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTTL
- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.03.26	Estepona - La Unión	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	La Unión - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Yeclano Deportivo - La Unión	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	La Unión - Águilas	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	La Unión - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.10.25	La Unión - Linares Deportivo	3:1
19.01.25	Linares Deportivo - La Unión	1:0
08.09.24	La Unión - Linares Deportivo	1:0

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