Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Estepona		La Unión

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.98	3.3
	2.07	2.91	3.1
	2.07	3.03	3.64	Watch
	2.13	3.01	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.06)	2.98 ↑ (2.96)	3.45 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
43.3%

Draw
30.4%

La Unión
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

31.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

30.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

La Unión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Estepona - La Unión Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Davila Y. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Leon S. ⚽,
24', 2 - 1, Marin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
73', 2 - 2, Davila Y. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Scepovic S. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Estepona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

La Unión's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Estepona might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Estepona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CD Estepona	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.26	Puente Genil - Estepona	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Estepona - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Antoniano - Estepona	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Estepona - Xerez CD	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Real Jaén - Estepona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWTT
- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.26	La Unión - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Yeclano Deportivo - La Unión	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	La Unión - Águilas	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	La Unión - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Melilla - La Unión	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.01.26	La Unión - Estepona	0:3
30.03.25	La Unión - Estepona	1:1
17.11.24	Estepona - La Unión	0:1
28.04.24	Estepona - La Unión	0:1
16.12.23	La Unión - Estepona	0:1

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