Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Chapín (Jerez)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Xerez CD		Linares Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.1	5.15
	1.65	3.38	5.82
	1.69	3.12	5.69
	1.67	3.1	5.5
	1.65	3.2	5.55
	1.64	3.25	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.76)	3.19 ↓ (3.35)	5.56 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
54.9%

Draw
28.6%

Linares Deportivo
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

26.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Xerez CD - Linares Deportivo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Xerez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Gutierrez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 1 - 1, Harper J. ⚽,
90', Lopez V. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Xerez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Xerez is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Xerez won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Xerez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Linares	5	2	1	2	6:7	-1	7
13	Xerez CD	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.02.26	Estepona - Xerez CD	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Xerez CD - Melilla	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Antoniano - Xerez CD	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Xerez CD - Águilas	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Almeria B - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLTW
- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.02.26	Minera - Linares Deportivo	5:0 ✺
25.01.26	Linares Deportivo - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Linares Deportivo - Almeria B	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Águilas - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Linares Deportivo - Melilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	Linares Deportivo - Xerez CD	2:2
04.05.25	Xerez CD - Linares Deportivo	2:0
21.12.24	Linares Deportivo - Xerez CD	0:2

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