Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 29

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Linense		Vélez

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	9.5
	1.28	5	10
	1.24	4.55	8.19
	1.24	5.35	11.7
	1.27	4.8	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.55)	4.89 ↑ (3.5)	9.8 ↑ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linense
72.1%

Draw
18.6%

Vélez
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

25.8%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

24.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Linense's performance.

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vélez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linense than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Linense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Linense - Vélez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
67', 1 - 1, Peral A. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, Aridane ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Linense is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Linense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Balompedica Linense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.03.24	Sevilla B - Linense	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Linense - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Linense	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Marbella - Linense	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Linense - Cadiz CF B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLT
- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.03.24	Vélez - Cadiz CF B	0:3 ✺
17.03.24	Estepona - Vélez	4:1 ✺
10.03.24	Vélez - Manchego	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Vélez - Yeclano Deportivo	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Betis B - Vélez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.11.23	Vélez - Linense	3:1

Linense - Vélez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide