Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 25

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Marbella (Marbella)


	Marbella		Linense

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.15	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.04	3.05	3
	2.28	2.92	3.37
	2.27	2.92	3.38
	2.12	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.67)	3.08 ↑ (3)	3.21 ↓ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbella
42.1%

Draw
29.5%

Linense
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

30.1%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

29.5%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marbella's form might have worsened.

Linense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Linense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marbella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linense than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Linense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marbella - Linense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marbella won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Marbella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marbella will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Marbella won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Marbella won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marbella FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.02.24	Cartagena B - Marbella	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Marbella - Cadiz CF B	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	Orihuela - Marbella	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Marbella - Estepona	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	El Palo - Marbella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWTTT
- Real Balompedica Linense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.02.24	Linense - Cadiz CF B	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.02.24	Strømsgodset - Linense	5:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.02.24	Estepona - Linense	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Linense - Manchego	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Águilas - Linense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.10.23	Linense - Marbella	2:0
21.03.21	Marbella - Linense	1:2
10.02.21	Linense - Marbella	2:1
Club Friendly
23.09.20	Marbella - Linense	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.02.20	Marbella - Linense	0:0
06.10.19	Linense - Marbella	1:1
13.04.19	Marbella - Linense	2:0

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