Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Linense		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.75	2.15
	3.65	2.8	2.14
	3.67	2.76	2.21	Watch
	4.41	3.05	1.94
	3.85	2.8	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.1)	2.83 (2.83)	2.1 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linense
24.1%

Draw
32.3%

Xerez CD
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

32.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

31.8%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linense's form might have worsened.

Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Xerez CD's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linense than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Xerez CD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Linense - Xerez CD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Josete ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', Chica S. 🟥,
83', 0 - 2, Dominguez D. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Linense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Xerez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Xerez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Xerez will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Linense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Balompedica Linense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.03.25	Linense - Águilas	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Orihuela - Linense	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Linense - Cadiz CF B	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Linense	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Linense - Estepona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.03.25	Xerez CD - Minera	3:2 ✺
22.03.25	Águilas - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Xerez CD - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Orihuela - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Xerez CD - Almeria B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.11.24	Xerez CD - Linense	1:2
Club Friendly
21.08.24	Xerez CD - Linense	2:0

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