Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Radina M. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	19:45	BBC iPlayer, Linfield TV, Solidsport TV


	Linfield		Víkingur Gøta

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	9	Watch
	1.44	4.1	6.5
	1.35	4.7	7.9	Watch
	1.37	4.43	8.42
	1.39	4.45	8.03	Watch
	1.42	4.6	8.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.49)	4.46 ↑ (3.92)	8.02 ↑ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linfield
67.5%

Draw
20.9%

Víkingur Gøta
11.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

23.4%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23.1%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Linfield's performance.

Víkingur Gøta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Linfield that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Víkingur Gøta than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	23.5%	0%

Linfield - Víkingur Gøta Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Linfield will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Linfield: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Linfield (votes: 2 - 40%). Víkingur Gøta (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johns Ch. (G) 67. Orr M. 2. Roscoe S. 15. Hall B. 10. Allen C. 8. McClean K. 5. Shields C. (C) 21. Archer J. 7. Millar K. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 9. Offord K.	1. Reynatrod B. (G) 22. Olsen A. 4. Gregersen A. (C) 18. Svensson A. 29. Arngrimsson I. 23. Kallsberg P. 30. Atlason A. 6. Ellingsgaard A. 14. Jonhardsson I. 7. Johansen J. 10. Vatnhamar S.
Substitutes
36. Annett R. 24. Brown S. 27. McGee E. 37. McKay R. 17. McKee C. 38. Morrison C. 68. Rooney D. (G) 51. Walsh D. (G) 4. Whiteside S.	25. Arngrimsson H. (G) 20. Bjarkhamar B. 15. Brandsson A. 16. Djurhuus P. 28. Hansen R. 19. Jarnskor J. 99. Klein M. 9. Nielsen J. 24. Olavsson J. 17. Radosavljevic S. 5. Skala R.
Coaches
Healy D.	Poulsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Olsen A. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Offord K. ⚽, Archer J. (A),
27', Gregersen A. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Olsen A. (Own goal), Fitzpatrick M. (A),
45+4', Ellingsgaard A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Arngrimsson I. 🟨,
67', Orr M. ↓, McGee E. ↑,
67', Johns Ch. ↓, Walsh D. ↑,
73', Ellingsgaard A. ↓, Radosavljevic S. ↑,
73', Johansen J. ↓, Nielsen J. ↑,
82', Allen C. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
86', Offord K. ↓, McKee C. ↑,
88', Atlason A. ↓, Brandsson A. ↑,
88', Arngrimsson I. ↓, Hansen R. ↑,
90+6', Svensson A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Linfield is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Linfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linfield FC
Northern Irish Premiership
10.08.25	Linfield - Dungannon Swifts	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Víkingur Gøta - Linfield	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Linfield - Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Žalgiris - Linfield	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.25	Linfield - Shelbourne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWTT
- Víkingur Gøta
Faroe Islands Premier League
10.08.25	Víkingur Gøta - B36 Torshavn	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Víkingur Gøta - Linfield	2:1 ✺
Faroe Islands Premier League
02.08.25	07 Vestur - Víkingur Gøta	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Víkingur Gøta	1:0 ✺
08.07.25	Víkingur Gøta - Lincoln Red Imps	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Víkingur Gøta - Linfield	2:1

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