Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast)

Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	Premier Sports 1 ROI
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport


	Linfield		Shelbourne

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.12	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.16	3.2	3.55
	5.26	3.41	1.71	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.1
	2.27	3.25	3.29	Watch
	2.22	3.41	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.25)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	3.06 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Linfield
38.1%

Draw
30.1%

Shelbourne
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

25.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Linfield - Shelbourne Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Linfield will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Linfield: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Linfield (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Shelbourne (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johns Ch. (G) 27. McGee E. 2. Roscoe S. 15. Hall B. 3. East E. 8. McClean K. 5. Shields C. (C) 21. Archer J. 7. Millar K. 9. Offord K. 17. McKee C.	13. Speel W. (G) 2. Gannon S. 15. Bone S. 29. Barrett P. (C) 18. Norris J. 14. Coote A. 6. Lunney J. 23. McInroy K. 25. Mbeng M. 11. Odubeko A. 7. Wood H.
Substitutes
10. Allen C. 24. Brown S. 34. McCullough D. 38. Morrison C. 22. Mulgrew J. 67. Orr M. 32. Taylor S. 51. Walsh D. (G) 4. Whiteside S. 20. Yates M.	9. Boyd S. 27. Caffrey E. 5. Chapman E. 8. Coyle M. 19. Healy L. (G) 17. Kelly D. 4. Ledwidge K. 10. Martin J. 22. Moore S. 24. Temple L. 50. Topcu A. (G)
Coaches
Healy D.	O'Brien J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Wood H. ⚽, Coote A. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Coote A. ⚽, Odubeko A. (A),
40', Offord K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Millar K. ↓, Taylor S. ↑,
59', Roscoe S. ↓, Allen C. ↑,
59', Archer J. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
61', Allen C. 🟨,
62', Mbeng M. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
62', McInroy K. ↓, Coyle M. ↑,
62', Odubeko A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
72', McKee C. ↓, Yates M. ↑,
72', McClean K. ↓, Morrison C. ↑,
74', Wood H. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,
76', Coyle M. 🟨,
77', Hall B. 🟨,
81', Bone S. ↓, Ledwidge K. ↑,
90', Norris J. 🟨,
90+2', Shields C. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Shelbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Linfield might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Linfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Linfield - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.56%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linfield FC
Northern Irish Premiership
24.08.25	Linfield - Cliftonville	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Shelbourne - Linfield	3:1 ✺
14.08.25	Linfield - Víkingur Gøta	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
10.08.25	Linfield - Dungannon Swifts	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Víkingur Gøta - Linfield	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL
- Shelbourne
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Shelbourne - Linfield	3:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
17.08.25	St Patricks Athletic - Shelbourne	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.08.25	Shelbourne - Rijeka	1:3 ✺
Irish Premier Division
09.08.25	Shelbourne - Bohemians Dublin	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.25	Rijeka - Shelbourne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Shelbourne - Linfield	3:1
UEFA Champions League
16.07.25	Linfield - Shelbourne	1:1
09.07.25	Shelbourne - Linfield	1:0

Upcoming Matches