The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 26.9%
Draw 33.9%
Real Pilar 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
33%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
33.3%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Defensores Unidos - Real Pilar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Baigorria A. 18. Carboni B. 10. Gimenez M. 2. Lopez J. 19. Lopez M. 3. Olivera L. 11. Patroni S. 5. Redondo K. 8. Sosa A. 6. Suarez F.
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Abre F. 5. Basualdo N. 7. Cesar J. 10. Chambi L. 11. Crocco M. (C) 3. Franco E. 2. Govi G. 4. Leguiza D. 8. Mancini V. 9. Moran J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Suarez F. ⚽,
28', 🟨,
29', 🟨,
35', 🟨,
35', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
43', Alarcon M. N. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 1, Crocco M. ⚽,
50', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Crocco M. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Defensores Unidos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Real Pilar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Real Pilar could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Defensores Unidos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Including home match between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.