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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 29.6%
Draw 31.4%
Deportivo Laferrere 39%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.5%
31.2%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
31.8%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores Unidos's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Laferrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Laferrere's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Laferrere, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Laferrere Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th and 9th in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs).
Defensores Unidos has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Deportivo Laferrere is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Defensores Unidos may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Defensores Unidos has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Defensores Unidos against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Laferrere
41
15
13
13
50:52
-2
58
18
Defensores Unidos
41
10
15
16
34:40
-6
45
Last Results with these Odds
Defensores Unidos - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.55%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.29%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
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