Match Info

Date: 17 August 2020, Monday


	Linköping City		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.62	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.6
	2.22	3.55	2.65
	2.26	3.91	2.68
	2.3	3.7	2.6
	2.28	3.7	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.7)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	2.63 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linköping City
40.5%

Draw
24.8%

Värnamo
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

24%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

18.6%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linköping City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Linköping City's performance.

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Värnamo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linköping City than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Linköping City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Värnamo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	15.4%	38.5%

Linköping City - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Linköping City will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Värnamo will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Linköping City: 27% – 65.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Superettan).

Recent matches Linköping City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Värnamo in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linköping City
Swedish Division 1 Södra
12.08.20	Lindome - Linköping City	3:1 ✺
09.08.20	Linköping City - Landskrona	2:0 ✺
19.07.20	Utsikten - Linköping City	2:1 ✺
15.07.20	Linköping City - Skövde AIK	5:1 ✺
11.07.20	Karlskrona - Linköping City	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Division 1 Södra
12.08.20	Skövde AIK - Värnamo	0:3 ✺
08.08.20	Värnamo - Qviding	5:0 ✺
19.07.20	Oskarshamn - Värnamo	1:2 ✺
15.07.20	Värnamo - Lunds	4:0 ✺
11.07.20	Värnamo - Eskilsminne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

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