Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 13 December 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Lion City Sailors		Kitchee

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.8	3.25	Watch
	2	3.75	3.25	Watch
	2.1	4	3.34
	2.01	3.74	3.25
	1.91	3.75	3.1
	1.97	3.92	3.34	Watch
	1.97	3.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.65)	3.82 ↓ (4.09)	3.25 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lion City Sailors
46.9%

Draw
24.4%

Kitchee
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

22.5%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lion City Sailors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lion City Sailors's form might have worsened.

Kitchee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kitchee's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lion City Sailors than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lion City Sailors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kitchee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Lion City Sailors - Kitchee Predictions

Users Predictions: Lion City Sailors will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Rohaizad Z. (G) 19. Suzliman Z. 3. Wright B. 14. Harun H. (C) 4. Super 22. Van Huizen C. 17. Lestienne M. 46. Pires R. 9. Tanaka K. 7. Anuar S. 34. Zivkovic R.	1. Wang Z. (G) 77. Fernando 5. Jose de Souza Goncalves H. (C) 15. Beto 18. Gerbig O. 8. Sartori I. 10. Cleiton 4. Scott C. 16. Tan C. 95. Chan Shinichi 89. Jantscher J.
Substitutes
8. bin Salime M. R. 13. Hakim A. (G) 6. Kumar A. 1. Mahbud I. (G) 61. Mao N. 11. Nor H. 23. Pashia H. 27. Swandi A. 16. Syahin H. 5. Tan L.	28. Cheng C. 19. Huang Yang 9. Kim Shin-Wook 2. Law Tsz-Chun 13. Mehmud Enikar (G) 26. Russell A.
Coaches
Rankovic A.	Kim Dong-Jin

Preview

Recent matches Lion City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kitchee is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kitchee could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kitchee have a series of home games.

Lion City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lion City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lion City Sailors
Singapore Cup
09.12.23	Lion City Sailors - Hougang United	3:1 ✺
06.12.23	Lion City Sailors - Tampines Rovers	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Tampines Rovers - Lion City Sailors	3:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
29.11.23	Bangkok United - Lion City Sailors	1:0 ✺
Singapore Cup
25.11.23	Hougang United - Lion City Sailors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTLT
- Kitchee FC
Hong Kong Premier League
08.12.23	Kitchee - Resources Capital	5:1 ✺
03.12.23	North District - Kitchee	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
29.11.23	Kitchee - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
24.11.23	Kitchee - Southern District	0:0 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
12.11.23	Kitchee - Lee Man	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
04.10.23	Kitchee - Lion City Sailors	1:2

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