Match Info

Premier League - Championship Group - Round 1

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Mong Kok Stadium (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc, RTHK TV 32


	Kitchee		Lee Man

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.92	3.15
	1.8	3.8	3.72	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.3
	1.8	3.58	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)	3.73 ↑ (3.46)	3.49 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kitchee
49%

Draw
24.7%

Lee Man
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

24.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kitchee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Lee Man has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lee Man than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Kitchee - Lee Man Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Pong C. (G) 6. Haddow J. 5. Illarramendi A. 34. Kam Chi-Kin. J. 10. Kendy 41. Lam P. 20. Martinez Ortiz L. 4. Matheus Dantas 15. Merquelanz M. 9. Revilla A. 16. Tan Chun-Lok	28. Chan K. (G) 7. Baffoe N. 8. Camargo E. 5. Dudu 77. Gigauri M. 17. Mikael 16. Ngan Lok-Fung 4. Tachibana R. 44. Tursunov D. 3. Willian Gaucho 6. Wu C. R.
Substitutes
21. Buddle S. 37. Chan Shing-Chun 8. Cheng Chin-Lung 30. Juninho 11. Kanda Y. 27. Lam Lok-Kan J. 2. Law Tsz-Chun 40. Li Siu-Hin 31. Slattery M. 1. Wang Z. (G)	21. Goddard C. 9. Lau K. 27. Lau Yu-Ho 1. Leung Hing-Kit (G) 99. Poon Pui-Hin 25. Poon S. (G) 31. Yung H. T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
6', Haddow J. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Camargo E. ⚽,
10', Tan Chun-Lok 🟨,
13', Wu C. R. 🟨,
18', 0 - 2, Baffoe N. ⚽,
19', 0 - 3, Camargo E. ⚽,
24', Haddow J. ↓, Lam Lok-Kan J. ↑,
34', 1 - 3, Merquelanz M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tan Chun-Lok ↓, Juninho ↑,
53', Willian Gaucho ↓, Goddard C. ↑,
54', Merquelanz M. 🟨,
57', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Kanda Y. ↑,
63', Lam P. 🟨,
74', Kendy 🟨,
75', Kendy ↓, Chan Shing-Chun ↑,
75', Lam P. ↓, Buddle S. ↑,
83', 1 - 4, Dudu ⚽,
85', Kanda Y. 🟨,
90+2', Baffoe N. ↓, Lau K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitchee won 3.

Kitchee has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Lee Man has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Kitchee has had a series of home games.

Recently, Lee Man has had a series of away games.

Kitchee is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kitchee won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kitchee won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lee Man Warriors	4	4	0	0	11:1	10	12
3	Kitchee	4	3	1	0	10:4	6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kitchee FC
Hong Kong Premier League
12.04.26	Kitchee - Hong Kong Rangers	2:0 ✺
Hong Kong League Cup
07.04.26	Kitchee - Lee Man	1:0 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
21.03.26	Kitchee - Eastern AA	2:1 ✺
Hong Kong League Cup
18.03.26	Kitchee - Kowloon City	1:0 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
14.03.26	Kitchee - Kowloon City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Lee Man FC
Hong Kong Premier League
12.04.26	North District - Lee Man	3:3 ✺
Hong Kong League Cup
07.04.26	Kitchee - Lee Man	1:0 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
03.04.26	Eastern District - Lee Man	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Lee Man - Kowloon City	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Hong Kong FC - Lee Man	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong League Cup
07.04.26	Kitchee - Lee Man	1:0
Hong Kong Premier League
15.02.26	Kitchee - Lee Man	1:0
20.09.25	Lee Man - Kitchee	2:3
12.04.25	Lee Man - Kitchee	4:0
15.03.25	Kitchee - Lee Man	0:1
Hong Kong Senior Shield
30.11.24	Lee Man - Kitchee	2:1
Hong Kong Premier League
02.11.24	Kitchee - Lee Man	1:1

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