Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 29 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+


	Kitchee		Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.25	5	1.37	Watch
	7	5	1.38	Watch
	7.57	5.16	1.44
	7.57	5.16	1.38
	7.5	4.8	1.29
	7.5	5.05	1.37	Watch
	7.6	5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.43 ↑ (4.2)	5.02 ↑ (3.9)	1.37 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kitchee
12.6%

Draw
18.7%

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

23.2%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

22.6%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kitchee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kitchee's form might have worsened.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kitchee, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Kitchee - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Predictions

Users Predictions: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wang Z. (G) 2. Law Tsz-Chun 5. Jose de Souza Goncalves H. (C) 26. Russell A. 95. Chan Shinichi 8. Sartori I. 10. Cleiton 4. Scott C. 7. Mingazov R. 89. Jantscher J. 17. Mikael	1. Kim Jeong-Hoon (G) 94. Ahn Hyun-Beom 3. Jeong Tae-Wook 26. Hong Jeong-Ho (C) 23. Kim Jin-Su 8. Paik Seung-Ho 4. Park Jin-Sub 27. Moon Seon-Min 11. Lee Dong-Jun 10. Park Jae-Yong 17. Song Min-Kyu
Substitutes
15. Beto 28. Cheng C. 77. Fernando 18. Gerbig O. 19. Huang Yang 91. Shek T. (G) 16. Tan C. 32. Yuen C. H.	21. Amano J. 57. Boateng N. 25. Choi Chul-Soon 7. Han Kyo-Won 13. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 32. Jeong Woo-Jae 15. Ku Ja-Ryong 44. Lee Joon-Ho 16. Lee Soo-Bin 70. Park Chang-Woo 19. Rafa Silva 5. Yun Young-Sun
Coaches
Kim Dong-Jin	Petrescu D.

Preview

Kitchee is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Jeonbuk Motors is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Kitchee have a series of home games.

In this match Jeonbuk Motors is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kitchee won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Kitchee won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kitchee FC
Hong Kong Premier League
24.11.23	Kitchee - Southern District	0:0 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
12.11.23	Kitchee - Lee Man	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
08.11.23	Bangkok United - Kitchee	1:1 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
04.11.23	Kitchee - Resources Capital	7:0 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
29.10.23	Kitchee - Sham Shui Po	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWTWW
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
South Korean K-League 1
25.11.23	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Incheon United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
08.11.23	Lion City Sailors - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	2:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
04.11.23	Pohang Steelers - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	4:2 ✺
01.11.23	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
20.09.23	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Kitchee	2:1
18.04.18	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Kitchee	3:0
20.02.18	Kitchee - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:6

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