The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Livingston 59.6%
Draw 23%
Ayr United 17.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.1%
23.3%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
22.5%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Livingston - Ayr United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - under (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 23. Kabongolo B. 5. McGowan R. (C) 26. Montano C. 8. Pittman S. 20. Danso E. 16. Palmer C. 7. Sinclair T. 9. Muirhead R. 19. van Hoeven B.
1. Stone H. (G) 8. King L. 5. Holt K. 3. Dick L. 32. Watret D. 6. Lyon R. (C) 20. McBeth L. 33. McMann S. 12. Whyte O. 7. Stirton O. 11. Taylor R.
Substitutes
25. Anderson B. 30. Blaney S. 27. Carey G. 6. Denholm A. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 2. Kerr C. 17. May S. 39. Polworth L. 4. Wilkie J.
34. Douglas J. 17. Hatton T. 9. Landers J. 2. McAllister N. 25. Mitchell K. 38. Russell L. (G) 10. Shanks K. 16. Summers B. 21. Walker E.
Coaches
Martindale D.
Naysmith G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Stirton O. ⚽, Taylor R. (A),
10', Palmer C. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Muirhead R. (Penalty Awarded),
22', Taylor R. 🟥,
22', McBeth L. 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, McBeth L. ⚽, Stirton O. (A),
45', Doherty J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sinclair T. ↓, Carey G. ↑,
51', Danso E. 🟨,
62', Palmer C. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
70', Stirton O. ↓, Shanks K. ↑,
70', Lyon R. ↓, McAllister N. ↑,
72', McMann S. 🟨,
76', Danso E. ↓, May S. ↑,
78', Shanks K. 🟨,
80', Pittman S. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
81', van Hoeven B. ↓, Denholm A. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter - finals) and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 4.
In recent outings, Livingston has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ayr is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ayr could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Livingston for this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Livingston has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:6 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Livingston against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:4 goals (averaging 1.6:0.5 per game).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
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Prior J. (G) 
Doherty J. 
McGowan R. (C) 
Montano C. 
Pittman S. 
Danso E. 
Palmer C. 
Sinclair T. 
van Hoeven B. 
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