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Current Win Probability
Stenhousemuir 18.1%
Draw 23.4%
Livingston 58.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29%
28.7%
42.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
28.5%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stenhousemuir's form might have worsened.
Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Livingston's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stenhousemuir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Livingston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
40%
40%
Stenhousemuir - Livingston Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Stenhousemuir will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Livingston will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 24. Grant L. 5. Young S. 19. Bright S. 39. Gillies M. 17. Anderson M. (C) 8. Robson F. 28. Penman C. 21. Hodgkiss L. 20. Stevenson G. 10. Shinnie A.
28. Prior J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 23. Kabongolo B. 5. McGowan R. (C) 26. Montano C. 8. Pittman S. 20. Danso E. 39. Polworth L. 17. May S. 9. Muirhead R. 25. Anderson B.
Substitutes
14. Bilham K. 4. Buchanan G. 15. Carrick D. 34. Hemfrey R. (G) 22. Kargbo H. 36. Lloyd L. 37. MacIntyre O. 11. O'Donnell L. 7. O'Reilly E.
30. Blaney S. 27. Carey G. 6. Denholm A. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 10. Nicholson S. 16. Palmer C. 7. Sinclair T. 19. van Hoeven B. 4. Wilkie J.
Coaches
Bartley M.
Martindale D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Pittman S. ⚽, Anderson B. (A),
22', May S. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Muirhead R. ⚽, May S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, Muirhead R. ⚽, May S. (A),
55', Bright S. ↓, Buchanan G. ↑,
56', Shinnie A. ↓, Kargbo H. ↑,
56', Gillies M. ↓, Lloyd L. ↑,
63', Muirhead R. 🟨,
70', Hodgkiss L. ↓, O'Donnell L. ↑,
70', Stevenson G. ↓, MacIntyre O. ↑,
73', May S. ↓, Denholm A. ↑,
73', Anderson B. ↓, Sinclair T. ↑,
75', Montano C. ↓, Blaney S. ↑,
88', Muirhead R. ↓, Wilkie J. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Semi - finals) and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Stenhousemuir (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Livingston have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Stenhousemuir may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Livingston is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Stenhousemuir has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:20 (averaging 0.4:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stenhousemuir against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 2:15 goals (averaging 0.3:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Stenhousemuir
13
7
2
4
13:12
1
23
5
Livingston
13
6
2
5
18:11
7
20
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
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Jamieson D. (G) 
Prior J. (G) 
Doherty J. 
McGowan R. (C) 
Montano C. 
Danso E. 
Kargbo H. 
Lloyd L. 
Palmer C. 
van Hoeven B. 
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