Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group E - Round 26

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)


	Livorno		Orvietana

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	8.25
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	5 (5)	8.25 ↑ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
71%

Draw
18%

Orvietana
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.2%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.8%

16.9%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Orvietana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Livorno - Orvietana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Russo F. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Bonassi L. ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, Panattoni M. (Pen),
37', 2 - 2, Panattoni M. ⚽,
40', 3 - 2, Malva A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 4 - 2, Dionisi F. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

Livorno in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Orvietana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Orvietana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Livorno is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Livorno won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Livorno won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.02.25	Montevarchi - Livorno	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Livorno - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Grosseto - Livorno	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Livorno - Fezzanese	5:3 ✺
12.01.25	Trestina - Livorno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTWW
- Orvietana Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.02.25	Orvietana - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Orvietana	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Orvietana - Ghiviborgo	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Orvietana - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Ostia Mare - Orvietana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
27.10.24	Orvietana - Livorno	1:4
20.12.23	Livorno - Orvietana	1:0
30.04.23	Livorno - Orvietana	0:2
17.12.22	Orvietana - Livorno	1:0

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