Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 20Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday
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Orvietana |
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San Donato Tavarnelle |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.32 |
3.15 |
2.72 |
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 |
2.39 |
3.24 |
2.73 |
 Watch |
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2.35 |
3.18 |
2.69 |
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2.4 |
3.14 |
2.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37
(2.37) |
3.18 ↓
(3.38) |
2.72 ↑
(2.54) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Orvietana
38.3% | Draw
28.5% | San Donato Tavarnelle
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orvietana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+3.7%)Orvietana - San Donato Tavarnelle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Gurschi P. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 9).Recent performances by Orvietana have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).San Donato is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Orvietana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orvietana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Orvietana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | San Donato | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 20.09.25 | San Donato Tavarnelle - Orvietana | 3:1 | | 19.01.25 | Orvietana - San Donato Tavarnelle | 0:1 | | 22.09.24 | San Donato Tavarnelle - Orvietana | 0:1 | | 07.04.24 | San Donato Tavarnelle - Orvietana | 0:1 | | 26.11.23 | Orvietana - San Donato Tavarnelle | 0:3 |
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