Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)

Referee: Cerea D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Livorno		Pescara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	3.30	2.37
	2.52	3.3	2.52	Watch
	2.58	3.44	2.61
	2.56	3.45	2.46	Watch
	2.5	3.35	2.45
	2.36	4.02	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3.35	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.44)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)	2.51 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
36.7%

Draw
26.6%

Pescara
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

27.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Livorno - Pescara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Martinez M. (G) 19. Regazzetti S. 34. Veseli F. 4. Bachini M. 54. Falasco N. 28. Rizza A. 32. Haas N. 17. Arrigoni T. (C) 44. Bonassi L. 7. Aramu M. 9. Gabbiani G.	90. Fiorillo V. (G) 20. Donati F. 33. Nardin F. 23. Pellacani F. 3. Letizia G. (C) 14. Valzania L. 24. Guccione F. 27. Erradi B. 37. Vitali P. 97. Parigi G. 19. D'Ausilio M.
Substitutes
5. Bacciardi A. 24. Badoro C. 90. Calabro L. 22. Ciobanu D. (G) 6. Djidji K. 2. Gentile D. 11. Malagrida L. 21. Malotti M. 14. Mancini T. 23. Marinari J. 77. Mawete J. C. 3. Menarini F. 18. Morachioli G. 53. Pittino T. 1. Tani F. (G)	15. Altare G. 2. Capellini R. 40. Doronzo L. (G) 21. Ferraris A. 17. Gatto M. 8. Graziani L. 9. Inglese R. 7. Meazzi L. 10. Merola D. 18. Milan M. 39. Morazzini L. 32. Motta M. 22. Saio I. (G) 44. Sardo J.
Coaches
Lucarelli C.	Busce A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Valzania L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Falasco N. 🟨,
58', Falasco N. ↓, Malagrida L. ↑,
62', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Ferraris A. ↑,
70', Aramu M. ↓, Malotti M. ↑,
70', Bonassi L. ↓, Badoro C. ↑,
71', Erradi B. ↓, Sardo J. ↑,
83', Parigi G. ↓, Inglese R. ↑,
83', Valzania L. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
83', Vitali P. ↓, Gatto M. ↑,
88', Guccione F. 🟨,
89', Gabbiani G. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
89', Arrigoni T. ↓, Bacciardi A. ↑,
90+5', Mancini T. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 1.

Livorno has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Pescara have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Livorno has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:14 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Livorno against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Livorno	8	4	2	2	10:9	1	14
10	Pescara	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Pescara - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.84%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
26.09.26	Livorno - Pianese	3:2 ✺
21.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Livorno - Vado	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Spezia - Livorno	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Livorno - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWLW
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.26	Pescara - Spezia	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Vado - Pescara	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Pescara - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Atalanta U23 - Pescara	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Pescara - Ravenna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.12.19	Livorno - Pescara	0:2
27.01.19	Livorno - Pescara	0:0
02.09.18	Pescara - Livorno	2:1
16.01.16	Pescara - Livorno	2:1
06.09.15	Livorno - Pescara	4:0
22.05.15	Pescara - Livorno	3:0
28.12.14	Livorno - Pescara	1:2

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