Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)

Referee: Raida M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Livyi Bereh Kyiv		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.40	2.30
	3.35	3.25	2.08
	3.66	3.4	2.18
	3.34	3.46	2.18	Watch
	3.55	3.05	2.12
	3.23	3.44	2.14	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	3.32 ↓ (3.51)	2.15 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
28.1%

Draw
28.2%

Karpaty Lviv
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

27.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.5%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zhmurko R. (G) 2. Sokolov O. 97. Yakymiv A. 5. Samar V. 6. Sidnney 44. Banada E. (C) 17. Vorobchak N. 10. Diego Andradina 90. Bonsu N. 7. Shastal D. 20. Fall P.	1. Marchenko D. (G) 14. Calero I. 4. Baboglo V. (C) 55. Stetskov T. 17. Vantukh R. 10. Moha Moukhliss 70. Alkain X. 8. Chachua A. 7. Fellipe Vieira 31. Rusyn N. 9. Sery J.
Substitutes
4. Bondarenko V. 23. Domolega O. (G) 37. Geresh R. 74. Ignatenko D. (G) 25. Kosovskyi S. 3. Kotukha I. 13. Kovalenko I. 8. Kryvoruchko O. 21. Voloshyn N. 9. Wendell	5. Buleza A. 28. Dyedov O. 21. Iglesias Lois B. 47. Jean Pedroso 77. Joaquinete 19. Karabin Y. 73. Lyakh R. 11. Miroshnichenko D. 80. Mysak R. (G) 56. Reznik V. 20. Sapuga M. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)
Coaches
Ryabokon O.	Fernandez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fall P. ↓, Wendell ↑,
56', Banada E. 🟨,
56', Vantukh R. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Fellipe Vieira ⚽, Alkain X. (A),
65', Sery J. ↓, Lyakh R. ↑,
65', Samar V. ↓, Kovalenko I. ↑,
75', Vantukh R. ↓, Joaquinete ↑,
75', Fellipe Vieira ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Vorobchak N. ⚽, Wendell (A),
81', Diego Andradina ↓, Kryvoruchko O. ↑,

Preview

Livyi Bereh is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Karpaty is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Karpaty has had a series of home games.

Karpaty will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livyi Bereh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Livyi Bereh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Karpaty Lviv	7	4	2	1	15:5	10	14
10	Livyi Bereg	6	1	4	1	4:3	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	Dnister Zalishchyky - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
15.08.26	Kryvbas - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Kudrivka	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Obolon	2:2 ✺
18.07.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Chernihiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTTW
- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	Karpaty Lviv - Obolon	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
15.08.26	Karpaty Lviv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	3:0 ✺
10.08.26	Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Kryvbas - Karpaty Lviv	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Karpaty Lviv - Željezničar Sarajevo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
02.05.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv	2:3
02.11.24	Karpaty Lviv - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	3:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.05.24	Karpaty Lviv - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	3:3
12.04.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv	0:1
Ukrainian Druha Liga
02.10.21	Karpaty Lviv - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:0

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