Match Info

Premier League - Relegation - Final

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Livyi Bereh Kyiv		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.75
	2.6	3.05	2.8
	2.54	2.95	2.95
	2.51	3.23	2.8	Watch
	2.72	3.12	2.87	Watch
	2.6	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.65)	3.1 (3.1)	2.83 (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
36.5%

Draw
30.3%

Kharkiv
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.6%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

32.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Kharkiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Livyi Bereh will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Kharkiv will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Livyi Bereh (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 2. Sokolov O. 44. Banada E. 50. Semenov D. 6. Sidnney 7. Shastal D. 25. Kosovskyi S. 8. Diego 18. Dedukh R. (C) 19. Kogut M. 10. Riznyk A.	30. Varakuta D. (G) 2. Kapinus D. 13. Salyuk V. 74. Snurnitsyn I. 3. Kravets V. 6. Mafwenta G. 7. Ari Moura 10. Yurchenko V. (C) 45. Kalitvintsev V. 19. Rashica E. 80. Mba C.
Substitutes
26. Galas T. 37. Geresh R. 23. Karavashchenko l. (G) 17. Kogut I. 29. Prykhodko K. 5. Samar V. 22. Shapoval V. 31. Stashkiv V. (G) 21. Sukhoruchko D. 96. Synytsya O. 11. Voytsekhovskiy V.	77. Bugay V. 15. Chornomorets O. 11. Churko V. 28. Gadzhyev R. 32. Imerekov M. 25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 14. Lytvynenko I. 1. Mozil O. (G) 8. Obinaiah S. 91. Panchenko M. 5. Pedro Arthur 31. Sten S.
Coaches
Pervak V.	Chyzov O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Ari Moura ⚽, Mafwenta G. (A),
44', Sidnney 🟨,
44', Ari Moura 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Riznyk A. ↓, Sukhoruchko D. ↑,
46', Diego ↓, Synytsya O. ↑,
57', Kravets V. ↓, Chornomorets O. ↑,
63', Kogut M. ↓, Voytsekhovskiy V. ↑,
64', Kalitvintsev V. ↓, Churko V. ↑,
70', Shastal D. ↓, Galas T. ↑,
74', Yurchenko V. ↓, Lytvynenko I. ↑,
74', Mba C. ↓, Bugay V. ↑,
74', Rashica E. ↓, Gadzhyev R. ↑,
79', Kosovskyi S. ↓, Prykhodko K. ↑,
83', Galas T. 🟨,
90', Varakuta D. 🟨,
90+2', Banada E. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent form of Livyi Bereh has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Metalist 1925 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Livyi Bereh: Astakhov E. (Collarbone injury) Yakymiv A. (Red Card)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Livyi Bereh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Livyi Bereh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
23.05.25	Obolon - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
12.05.25	Inhulets - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Kryvbas - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	4:0 ✺
02.05.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
24.05.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Kharkiv - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Kharkiv - Metalist Kharkiv	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Kharkiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
26.07.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Kharkiv	2:1 penalties

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