Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Livyi Bereh Kyiv		Rukh Lviv

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.87	2.65
	1.91	3.2	4.3
	1.94	3.14	4.18
	1.88	3.33	4.31	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.5
	1.93	3.35	4.6	Watch
	1.91	3.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.32)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	4.12 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
46.9%

Draw
30%

Rukh Lviv
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.2%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Livyi Bereh Kyiv's performance.

Rukh Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rukh Lviv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Livyi Bereh Kyiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rukh Lviv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	9.1%	4.5%

Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Rukh Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Livyi Bereh will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). Rukh will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Livyi Bereh: 72.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Livyi Bereh (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Livyi Bereh Kyiv will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Livyi Bereh (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 2. Sokolov O. 97. Yakymiv A. 5. Samar V. 6. Sidnney 44. Banada E. (C) 25. Kosovskyi S. 8. Diego 19. Kogut M. 21. Sukhoruchko D. 7. Shastal D.	28. Klymenko Y. (G) 75. Kitela A. 92. Slyubyk B. 4. Kholod V. 93. Roman V. 15. Pidgurskyi D. (C) 11. Runich V. 29. Didyk R. 19. Pastukh Y. 8. Karabin Y. 99. Faal B.
Substitutes
37. Geresh R. 23. Karavashchenko l. (G) 9. Kobzar B. 17. Kogut I. 29. Prykhodko K. 10. Riznyk A. 50. Semenov D. 22. Shapoval V. 31. Stashkiv V. (G) 96. Synytsya O.	50. Denisov I. 1. Gereta Y. (G) 25. Gorin O. 78. Jurabaev M. 23. Ledviy D. (G) 73. Lyakh R. 10. Prytula O. 9. Remenyak A. 16. Ryabov A. 34. Serhiyovych S. D. 18. Zalypka A.
Coaches
Pervak V.	Ponomarev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Shastal D. ⚽,
32', Yakymiv A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kholod V. ↓, Gorin O. ↑,
46', Pidgurskyi D. ↓, Ryabov A. ↑,
46', Roman V. ↓, Lyakh R. ↑,
46', Sidnney ↓, Shapoval V. ↑,
66', Samar V. 🟨,
70', Sukhoruchko D. ↓, Kobzar B. ↑,
70', Diego ↓, Synytsya O. ↑,
81', Kogut M. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
86', Runich V. ↓, Denisov I. ↑,
89', Kosovskyi S. ↓, Semenov D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 7).

Livyi Bereh is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Rukh has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rukh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Livyi Bereh is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Livyi Bereh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
12.05.25	Inhulets - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Kryvbas - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	4:0 ✺
02.05.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv	2:3 ✺
25.04.25	Zorya Luhansk - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLT
- Rukh Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
10.05.25	Rukh Lviv - Veres Rivne	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Rukh Lviv - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Rukh Lviv	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Karpaty Lviv - Rukh Lviv	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Rukh Lviv - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
24.11.24	Rukh Lviv - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:0

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