Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Obolon Arena (Kyiv)

Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Obolon		Livyi Bereh Kyiv

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.45	4
	2.42	2.55	3.75
	2.5	2.5	3.96
	2.27	2.66	4.26	Watch
	2.38	2.6	3.6
	2.64	2.4	4.2	Watch
	2.42	2.55	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.17)	2.53 ↓ (3.1)	3.93 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Obolon
38.8%

Draw
37.2%

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

25.7%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Livyi Bereh Kyiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	70%	0%

Obolon - Livyi Bereh Kyiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Obolon will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Obolon (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marchenko D. (G) 11. Grysyo M. 2. Karas D. 3. Pryimak V. (C) 37. Dubko V. 15. Stasyuk P. 44. Vitenchuk V. 95. Kurko V. 25. Grusha V. 99. Teslyuk D. 21. Bychek K.	1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 2. Sokolov O. 97. Yakymiv A. 5. Samar V. 6. Sidnney 50. Semenov D. 18. Dedukh R. (C) 25. Kosovskyi S. 96. Synytsya O. 21. Sukhoruchko D. 19. Kogut M.
Substitutes
7. Bliznichenko V. 17. Chernenko R. 1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 70. Korkh K. 32. Lomnytskyi A. 13. Medynskyi I. 5. Osman O. 23. Rybka O. (G) 10. Slobodyan O. 55. Sukhanov S. 8. Taranukha R. 9. Ustymenko D.	44. Banada E. 8. Diego 26. Galas T. 23. Karavashchenko l. (G) 9. Kobzar B. 17. Kogut I. 29. Prykhodko K. 10. Riznyk A. 22. Shapoval V. 7. Shastal D. 31. Stashkiv V. (G) 11. Voytsekhovskiy V.
Coaches
Shishenko S.	Pervak V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Yakymiv A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Grusha V. ⚽,
54', Synytsya O. ↓, Shastal D. ↑,
54', Sukhoruchko D. ↓, Kobzar B. ↑,
54', Kogut M. ↓, Diego ↑,
59', Grysyo M. 🟨,
59', Bychek K. ↓, Ustymenko D. ↑,
59', Teslyuk D. ↓, Taranukha R. ↑,
73', Kurko V. ↓, Slobodyan O. ↑,
73', Grysyo M. ↓, Sukhanov S. ↑,
77', Kosovskyi S. ↓, Riznyk A. ↑,
83', Yakymiv A. 🟨,
84', Pryimak V. ↓, Lomnytskyi A. ↑,
89', Sokolov O. ↓, Voytsekhovskiy V. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation))

Obolon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Livyi Bereh is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Obolon could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Obolon: Ilyin O. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Livyi Bereh: Astakhov E. (Collarbone injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Obolon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
17.05.25	Kryvbas - Obolon	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Obolon - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Veres Rivne - Obolon	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Obolon - Karpaty Lviv	2:2 ✺
18.04.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Obolon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTWTL
- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
18.05.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
12.05.25	Inhulets - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Kryvbas - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	4:0 ✺
02.05.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv	2:3 ✺
25.04.25	Zorya Luhansk - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
30.11.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Obolon	1:1
02.06.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Obolon	1:1
29.05.24	Obolon - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:0

Upcoming Matches