Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - SÖDRA - ROUND 14

Date: 21 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Skarsjövallen (Uddevalla)


	Ljungskile		Ahlafors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.75	3.2
	1.96	3.45	3.05
	1.81	4.19	3.47
	2.15	3.3	2.8
	1.85	3.88	3.48
	1.86	3.85	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.2)	3.74 ↑ (3.2)	3.22 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ljungskile
47.5%

Draw
24.3%

Ahlafors
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.9%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ljungskile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ljungskile's performance.

Ahlafors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (+2%)

Ljungskile - Ahlafors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sims K. (G) 19. Olsson P. 7. Botes C. 5. Ransjo Falkstrand F. 4. Ohlsson S. (C) 6. Bahno M. 9. Bitiqi A. 14. Hussain M. 25. Kamara J. T. 10. Arapovic B. 17. Murana C.	30. Alexandersson M. (G) 29. Clason R. 3. Josefsson A. 17. Jatta N. 22. Edlund S. 16. Strandahl N. 20. Lindstrom J. 10. Olsson P. 15. Kocevski K. 8. Tidstrand D. (C) 7. Zetterlund J.
Substitutes
11. Fay O. 12. Halimi A. 37. Hermansson N. 20. Ingham O. 2. Kallen G. 18. Leidewall M. 8. Odenbeck J.	21. Adan M. 14. Andersson V. 4. Nilsson J. 18. Sirinic F. 31. Skanberg A. (G) 28. Soder H. 11. Valtersson E.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Ljungskile could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ljungskile have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
17.06.23	Olympic - Ljungskile	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	Lunds - Ljungskile	4:0 ✺
04.06.23	Ljungskile - Oddevold	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Eskilsminne - Ljungskile	5:1 ✺
21.05.23	Tvååker - Ljungskile	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTLL
- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
17.06.23	Oskarshamn - Ahlafors	5:1 ✺
13.06.23	Ahlafors - Trollhättan	0:4 ✺
Svenska Cupen
08.06.23	Trollhättan - Ahlafors	4:3 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Södra
03.06.23	AFC Malmö - Ahlafors	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Ahlafors - Tvååker	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

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