Match Info

Superettan - Round 27

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Skarsjövallen (Uddevalla) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	13:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen


	Ljungskile		Brage

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.40	3.00
	2.10	3.50	2.95
	1.91	3.60	3.30
	2.23	3.60	3.31
	2.16	3.53	3.14	Watch
	2.19	3.35	3.25
	2.17	3.51	3.10	Watch
	2.12	3.40	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.87)	3.49 ↓ (3.68)	3.13 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ljungskile
43.7%

Draw
26.6%

Brage
29.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

24.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

23.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ljungskile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ljungskile's form might have worsened.

Brage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ljungskile - Brage Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson L. (G) 69. Maric I. 60. Mensah G. 23. Uzel M. 16. Reljanovic E. 14. Lagerlof D. (C) 71. Ljung D. 58. Adrian S. 27. Boren A. 19. Hedstrom J. D. E. 99. Lindholm Corner L.	1. Frodig V. (G) 17. Jonsson P. 2. Zetterstrom A. 22. Stagaard T. 16. Rafael Y. 6. Madsen L. 7. Stensson J. 11. Lundin A. 20. Okeke V. 8. Sporrong A. 9. Trpcevski F.
Substitutes
18. Borstam H. 15. Frisk D. 12. Hogblom S. 20. Hogg C. (G) 3. Johanstrommer Hedin G. 13. Nilsson W. 11. Omar S. 5. Ornblom F. 9. Rasheed A.	10. Berggren G. 28. Granstrom G. 30. Guadagno J. (G) 24. Hellblom A. 5. Konjuhi L. 12. Mortensen A. 25. Pihlstrom A. 19. Sise M. 14. Skille J.
Coaches
Fredheim T.	Kallberg G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Ljung D. ⚽, Boren A. (A),
30', Madsen L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Stensson J. ↓, Mortensen A. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Lindholm Corner L. ⚽,
53', Ljung D. 🟨,
59', Rafael Y. ↓, Sise M. ↑,
59', Madsen L. ↓, Berggren G. ↑,
70', Hedstrom J. D. E. ↓, Nilsson W. ↑,
75', Sise M. 🟨,
80', Sporrong A. ↓, Granstrom G. ↑,
80', Adrian S. 🟨,
86', Adrian S. ↓, Hogblom S. ↑,
86', Granstrom G. 🟨,
86', Jonsson P. ↓, Skille J. ↑,
90', Uzel M. ↓, Johanstrommer Hedin G. ↑,
90+1', Boren A. ↓, Ornblom F. ↑,
90+6', Skille J. 🟨,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 14th in the Division 1 - Norra (Relegation) and 13th in the Division 1 - Norra (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ljungskile won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Ljungskile is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Ljungskile has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 11:8 (averaging 1.8:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ljungskile against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 2:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Ljungskile	28	7	9	12	35:40	-5	30
15	Brage	28	6	8	14	45:55	-10	26

Last Results with these Odds

Ljungskile - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 48.77%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Superettan
11.10.26	Örebro - Ljungskile	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sundsvall - Ljungskile	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ljungskile - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Ljungskile - Norrby	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Norrköping - Ljungskile	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLLWT
- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
11.10.26	Brage - Helsingborg	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Varbergs BoIS - Brage	3:2 ✺
15.09.26	Brage - Sandviken	1:1 ✺
10.09.26	Östersund - Brage	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Brage - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
09.06.26	Brage - Ljungskile	2:2
22.10.20	Brage - Ljungskile	0:1
08.07.20	Ljungskile - Brage	1:3
24.08.13	Ljungskile - Brage	4:1
29.04.13	Brage - Ljungskile	1:2
30.09.12	Ljungskile - Brage	1:1

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