Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Skarsjövallen (Uddevalla)


	Ljungskile		Lunds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.28
	2.85	3.45	2.36
	2.84	3.47	2.35	Watch
	2.82	3.35	2.33	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.4)	3.43 ↑ (3.35)	2.32 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ljungskile
32.8%

Draw
27.1%

Lunds
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

26.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.4%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ljungskile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Lunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Ljungskile - Lunds Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ljungskile (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ljungskile (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Ljungskile (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ljungskile (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson L. (G) 10. Ambroz F. 11. Helm A. 3. Johanstrommer Hedin G. 14. Lagerlof D. 18. Larsson A. 99. Lindholm Corner L. (C) 60. Mensah G. 2. Nafors Dahlin R. 8. Tyren V. 23. Uzel M.	32. Sarr L. (G) 15. Bath Saganger G. 13. Bjornson L. 77. Liimatainen K. 17. Lindfors S. 5. Ludwick R. 3. Nicklasson L. 7. Nilsson A. 19. Persson E. 10. Tran E. (C) 9. Wendt R.
Substitutes
17. Bjork A. 12. Hogblom S. 7. Liljedahl J. 37. Liljedahl W. (G) 9. Rasheed A. 15. Vennberg J. 16. Zetterlund J.	18. Akdemir F. 1. Arvidsson N. (G) 23. Daly Tempelaar A. 14. Glusica D. 21. Kolle D. T. 26. Orajarvi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Tyren V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', Wendt R. ↓, Daly Tempelaar A. ↑,
65', Persson E. ↓, Orajarvi I. ↑,
68', Larsson A. ↓, Liljedahl J. ↑,
68', Helm A. ↓, Rasheed A. ↑,
70', Nilsson A. ↓, Glusica D. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Liljedahl J. ⚽,
74', 3 - 0, Lindholm Corner L. ⚽, Liljedahl J. (A),
74', Bath Saganger G. ↓, Akdemir F. ↑,
75', Lindfors S. ↓, Kolle D. T. ↑,
82', Lindholm Corner L. ↓, Zetterlund J. ↑,
89', Liljedahl J. 🟨,
89', Lagerlof D. ↓, Vennberg J. ↑,
90', Nafors Dahlin R. ↓, Bjork A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ljungskile won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Ljungskile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lunds is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ljungskile won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ljungskile won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
10.05.25	Ljungskile - Oskarshamn	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Hässleholm - Ljungskile	1:4 ✺
26.04.25	Ljungskile - Trollhättan	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Ljungskile - Husqvarna	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Skövde AIK - Ljungskile	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWWW
- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
09.05.25	Lunds - Hässleholm	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Norrby - Lunds	2:2 ✺
28.04.25	Lunds - AFC Malmö	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Lunds - Oskarshamn	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Trollhättan - Lunds	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
20.10.24	Lunds - Ljungskile	4:2
07.04.24	Ljungskile - Lunds	0:4
10.09.23	Ljungskile - Lunds	0:3
10.06.23	Lunds - Ljungskile	4:0
03.09.22	Lunds - Ljungskile	1:0
21.05.22	Ljungskile - Lunds	2:1
18.09.21	Lunds - Ljungskile	0:2

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