Match Info

Superettan - Round 18

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Kobberrod J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Helsingborg		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.40	2.20	Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.30
	2.85	3.35	2.16
	2.88	3.91	2.36
	2.46	3.71	2.58	Watch
	2.80	3.85	2.25
	2.79	3.62	2.28	Watch
	2.75	3.45	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.13)	3.6 ↓ (3.68)	2.3 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
33.9%

Draw
25.8%

Värnamo
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

25.4%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

25.1%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Helsingborg's form might have worsened.

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Värnamo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Helsingborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Värnamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Helsingborg - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: Helsingborg will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Radahl E. (G) 58. Biten C. 42. Hyppanen L. 27. N'Diaye D. 5. Bengtsson S. 22. Rupil T. 14. Kjellnas L. 8. Gigovic E. (C) 19. Persson L. 21. Larsson J. 9. Johansson A.	1. Keto H. (G) 18. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 2. Rapp J. 5. Bergqvist D. 4. Ohlsson S. 8. Andersson H. 7. Johansson C. 10. Claesson V. (C) 3. Bjornstrom A. 9. Meriluoto K. 14. Antonsson M.
Substitutes
11. Akimey A. 29. Appiah Nyarko K. 1. Brattberg J. (G) 36. Hasselqvist J. 20. Hedenberg L. 26. Sadiku L. 10. Svensson M.	21. Abdulrazak I. 33. Akinfenwa M. 6. Andersson H. 19. Freij E. 13. Jansson S. 16. Kujundzic A. 23. Robertsson L. 39. Sapielak B. (G) 34. Zulovic B.
Coaches
Grieve S.	Bergstrand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Bergqvist D. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
15', 0 - 1, Antonsson M. ⚽, Ohlsson S. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Claesson V. ⚽, Andersson H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', N'Diaye D. ↓, Akimey A. ↑,
59', Andersson H. ↓, Robertsson L. ↑,
63', Johansson A. ↓, Appiah Nyarko K. ↑,
63', Rupil T. ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
74', Persson L. ↓, Hasselqvist J. ↑,
74', Johansson C. ↓, Freij E. ↑,
80', Appiah Nyarko K. 🟨,
90', Biten C. ↓, Hedenberg L. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Kjellnas L. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helsingborg won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Värnamo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Helsingborg has had a series of away games.

Helsingborg might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Helsingborg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Helsingborg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Helsingborg	25	8	6	11	36:45	-9	30
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
01.08.26	Norrköping - Helsingborg	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Helsingborg - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
21.07.26	Falkenberg - Helsingborg	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	AB Copenhagen - Helsingborg	2:0 ✺
Swedish Superettan
28.06.26	Sandviken - Helsingborg	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWLL
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
03.08.26	Örebro - Värnamo	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Värnamo - Brage	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	Värnamo - Ljungskile	2:3 ✺
28.06.26	Landskrona - Värnamo	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Brage - Värnamo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
16.06.26	Värnamo - Helsingborg	0:1
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Värnamo - Helsingborg	3:1
Svenska Cupen
25.02.24	Helsingborg - Värnamo	0:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.09.22	Värnamo - Helsingborg	3:2
21.05.22	Helsingborg - Värnamo	1:4
Swedish Superettan
06.11.21	Värnamo - Helsingborg	3:1
22.07.21	Helsingborg - Värnamo	2:3

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