Match Info

Date: 18 November 2020, Wednesday


	Llagostera		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.95	2.8
	2.65	2.8	2.8
	2.37	2.85	2.95
	2.49	2.96	3.17
	2.38	2.88	3
	2.45	3.1	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.27)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)	2.92 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llagostera
37.3%

Draw
31.3%

UCAM Murcia
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

21.3%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llagostera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llagostera than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llagostera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UCAM Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Llagostera - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Llagostera is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UCAM Murcia in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Llagostera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Llagostera have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Llagostera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
15.11.20	Badalona - Llagostera	0:0 ✺
11.11.20	Llagostera - LHospitalet	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
28.10.20	Llagostera - Platges de Calvià	3:0 ✺
22.10.20	Llagostera - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
18.10.20	Llagostera - Andorra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTWWT
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.11.20	UCAM Murcia - El Ejido	2:1 ✺
01.11.20	Córdoba - UCAM Murcia	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
28.10.20	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.20	UCAM Murcia - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
21.10.20	Villarrubia - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWWW

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