Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Villarrubia		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.95	2.4
	2.55	2.95	2.65
	2.75	3.15	2.35
	2.62	2.88	2.7
	2.62	3.04	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.46)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)	2.55 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrubia
34%

Draw
30.3%

UCAM Murcia
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

21.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarrubia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villarrubia - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Villarrubia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches UCAM Murcia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villarrubia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Villarrubia have a series of home games.

Recently UCAM Murcia have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villarrubia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarrubia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.10.20	Villarrubia - Villanovense	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.10.20	Villarrubia - Utrera	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.20	Villarrobledo - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
23.09.20	Villarrubia - Talavera de la Reina	4:0 ✺
19.09.20	Villarrubia - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTWW
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.10.20	Sevilla B - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
11.10.20	Moralo - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.20	Ibiza - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
12.09.20	Elche - UCAM Murcia	2:0
09.09.20	UCAM Murcia - Hércules	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.02.20	UCAM Murcia - Villarrubia	0:0
28.09.19	Villarrubia - UCAM Murcia	0:0

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