Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 13

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		El Ejido

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.25	4.8
	1.68	3.1	5.6
	1.68	3.3	4.8
	1.72	3.17	5.51
	1.63	3.2	5.5
	1.67	3.34	5.15
	1.7	3.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.89)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	5.18 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
54.3%

Draw
28.1%

El Ejido
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

28.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.

El Ejido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Ejido might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Ejido than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Ejido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

UCAM Murcia - El Ejido Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. UCAM Murcia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). El Ejido will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match UCAM Murcia is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.11.22	Antequera - UCAM Murcia	5:3 ✺
20.11.22	UCAM Murcia - Cadiz CF B	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Atlético Sanluqueño - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	UCAM Murcia - Betis B	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	San Roque de Lepe - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- CD El Ejido
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.11.22	El Ejido - Mancha Real	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Juventud de Torremolinos - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	El Ejido - Vélez	1:3 ✺
29.10.22	Xerez Deportivo - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	El Ejido - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.08.21	UCAM Murcia - El Ejido	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.02.21	El Ejido - UCAM Murcia	1:1
08.11.20	UCAM Murcia - El Ejido	2:1
27.04.19	El Ejido - UCAM Murcia	2:0
09.12.18	UCAM Murcia - El Ejido	3:0
Club Friendly
25.07.18	El Ejido - UCAM Murcia	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.03.18	El Ejido - UCAM Murcia	3:0

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